1. Los Angeles Rams – Jared Goff, QB, California
The Rams’ move up for a quarterback has been painted like they’re still undecided, but I would be shocked if it’s not Goff.
2. Philadelphia Eagles – Carson Wentz, QB, North Dakota State
The Eagles moved up for a quarterback, and they’ll gladly take who the Rams don’t.
3. San Diego Chargers – Jalen Ramsey, DB, Florida State
Once the Eagles moved up to 2nd overall, the Chargers have essentially been put on the clock. Ramsey is arguably the best player in the draft and will have an immediate impact in the Chargers secondary.
4. Dallas Cowboys – Joey Bosa, DE, Ohio State
Dallas has invested second round picks in high upside pass rushers with off-the-field concerns the past two years, and with Gregory in particular it may have already backfired. Bosa’s a great pick to correct that.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars – Myles Jack, LB, UCLA
There’s been some uncertainty with where Jack’s knee injury will cause him to go, but ultimately I don’t think it’ll be a hindrance to his stock. He’s an ideal fit for a team lacking a high impact linebacker.
6. Baltimore Ravens – Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss
In a repeat of last year, one of the consensus elite talents falls out of the top five. This time Baltimore benefits.
7. San Francisco 49ers – Deforest Buckner, DE, Oregon
Chip Kelly and Oregon players is a running joke but this one makes a lot of sense. Buckner’s an excellent prospect at a position of need for San Francisco.
*TRADE* Miami trades pick 13, pick 73, and pick 135 for Cleveland’s pick 8 and pick 176.
8. Miami Dolphins – Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State
There’s a lot of buzz surrounding a possible Elliott move up for Miami, and if he falls this far I absolutely see it happening.
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Vernon Hargreaves III, CB, Florida
Corner has been a problem area for Tampa. Keeping Hargreaves in Florida makes a lot of sense here.
*TRADE* Tennessee trades pick 15 and pick 76 to the Giants for pick 10.
10. Tennessee Titans – Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame
Moving down from one means they’ve past up an elite tackle prospect in Laremy Tunsil, but the Titans are well positioned to move back up. Moving up to grab Stanley makes sense if they really were serious about Tunsil at 1.
11. Chicago Bears – Leonard Floyd, OLB, Georgia
The Bears defense is still a work in progress, but will continue to be a priority for John Fox. Floyd projects well for a similar role to what Von Miller did for Fox in Denver.
12. New Orleans Saints – Sheldon Rankins, DT, Louisville
The Saints of late have been better known for porous defense than explosive offense, and need to make a commitment to rebuilding the defensive line. It’s going to take more than one player, but Rankins and Cameron Jordan can paper over some cracks.
13. Cleveland Browns – Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State
The Browns lost Mitchell Schwartz to Kansas City and there’s still a possibility Joe Thomas is moved some point before the season. Conklin’s been on the rise and would be a nice start for Cleveland’s new regime.
14. Oakland Raiders – William Jackson III, CB, Houston
Oakland is building a formidable front seven and added Sean Smith at corner, but can stand to continue upgrading the secondary with the struggles of DJ Hayden.
15. New York Giants – Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
Rueben Randle’s time with the Giants ultimately was disappointing and Ben McAdoo will want to find Eli a second quality target to upgrade. Treadwell is an excellent complement to Beckham.
16. Detroit Lions – Shaq Lawson, DE, Clemson
The Lions hit big with Ziggy Ansah a few years ago, but could use a good complement on the other side. Lawson won’t match Ansah as a pass rusher, but he’s an ideal left end.
17. Atlanta Falcons – Darron Lee, LB, Ohio State
Quinn continues rebuilding Atlanta’s defense by injecting more big time athleticism into the front seven.
18. Indianapolis Colts – Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio State
There’s a lot of talk about the Colts failing to invest in protecting Andrew Luck, and there’s truth to that. But the Colts are also having trouble moving bodies in the run game as well, and that makes Decker an excellent plug-and-play starter.
19. Buffalo Bills – Robert Nkemdiche, DL, Ole Miss
Sheldon Richardson or Quinton Coples? There’s probably not any middle ground with Nkemdiche, but Rex will be enamored with his traits as a Mario Williams replacement.
*TRADE* Denver sends pick 31 and pick 63 to the Jets for pick 20.
20. Denver Broncos – Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis
With the Kaepernick situation showing no movement, Denver goes up and addresses their long-term future at quarterback.
21. Washington Redskins – Andrew Billings, DL, Baylor
Billings is a major boost to Washington’s defensive interior, and projects as a true three-down nose tackle.
22. Houston Texans – Will Fuller, WR, Notre Dame
The Texans made a big investment into Brock Osweiler, the next step is putting him in a situation for maximum success. Fuller is a natural big play complement to Deandre Hopkins.
23. Minnesota Vikings – Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor
Minnesota needs weapons in the passing game, Coleman is nothing if not a weapon. The Vikings struggled for big plays through the air, Coleman gives Bridgewater more opportunities to create them.
24. Cincinnati Bengals – Josh Doctson, WR, TCU
Cincinnati lost both Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu in free agency, but adding Doctson would maintain Cincinnati’s core of passing weapons as amongst the league’s very best.
25. Pittsburgh Steelers – Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State
The past few seasons Pittsburgh has invested in their front seven, the next logical step is adding quality prospects in the secondary.
26. Seattle Seahwaks – Jarran Reed, DT, Alabama
Seattle lost Brandon Mebane and a deep defensive line rotation is a huge key of their defensive success. Reed adds a monster run defender to the group.
27. Green Bay Packers – Reggie Ragland, LB, Alabama
Green Bay’s problems at inside linebacker last year were such that they deployed Clay Matthews as a sixteen game starter there. Ragland represents good value here as an instant starter and a boost in Green Bay’s run defense.
28. Kansas City Chiefs – Connor Cook, QB, Michigan State
I’m sticking my neck out and saying some team takes Cook higher than people think. Whether it’s the Chiefs here or a team that moves up into a spot around this pick, I think Cook not lasting until Friday will be one of the draft’s surprises. He’s an interesting fit with the Chiefs given that what Alex Smith is bashed for (reluctant to attack downfield and take chances) is Cook’s best quality.
29. Arizona Cardinals – Ryan Kelly, C, Alabama
Arizona the last few years have picked players in round one just to redshirt them, but Kelly would be an exception. He could start immediately in the middle and perhaps move Shipley to guard full time.
30. Carolina Panthers – Artie Burns, CB, Miami
Carolina releases one of the best corners in the league from 2015 and adds a prospect with the potential to be one of the best a few years down the line.
31. New York Jets – Noah Spence, OLB, Eastern Kentucky
There’s a lot of attention on Paxton Lynch as a *must pick* if available, but I wanted to put forth another scenario. While there’s a good chance the Jets rank Lynch as the next best QB after the top two, that doesn’t mean they necessarily rank him as mid-late first round prospect. Maccagnan is a pure best player available GM and also wants to add more picks. In this scenario the Jets move back and pick up a late second after being comfortable with a number of players on the board at 20. Things work out, and Spence trickles down the board to the last pick in round one.