With the New York Jets on a bye week, it is time to sit back enjoy your NFL RedZone and have a stress free Sunday. Here are my week 5 NFL picks…
Warning: I went 10-3 last week, which means the regression to the mean could be coming.
Tampa Bay (-2.5) vs. Jacksonville – Two struggling young quarterbacks leading teams headed to 5-11 seasons at best, I’ll go with Jameis hooking up down field a few times with Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson helping lead to an ugly win.
Tennessee (+1) vs. Buffalo – This line has got surprisingly tight. Why? No McCoy. No Williams. No Watkins. Marcus Mariota is a rookie but gets rid of the ball quickly, which should help negate Buffalo’s pass rush and the Bills have been handing teams yards with their league high amount of penalties.
Cleveland (+6) vs. Baltimore – This is too high because for all we have seen this year, Cleveland is just as good, if not better than the Ravens.
Atlanta (-6.5) vs. Washington – The high number might scare some people away from Atlanta but it did the same last week when they played Houston and look how that turned out.
Chicago (+9) vs. Kansas City – The Bears have actually been competitive and competent when Cutler is out there. The Chiefs don’t deserve to be 9 point favorites over anyone.
Philadelphia (-6) vs. New Orleans – Drew Brees outside. Rob Ryan trying to scheme against Chip Kelly. I’ll take the struggling ‘Birds.
Green Bay (-9) vs. St. Louis – Classic let down game for a Jeff Fisher team coming off a big win. The Packers roll.
Cincinnati (-3.5) vs. Seattle – I just can’t get past the Seahawks offensive line trying to block the Bengals.
Arizona (-3.5) vs. Detroit – Feels like a bounce back game for Bruce Arians’ team against a sputtering 0-4 Lions team coming off a devastating loss.
New England (-9) vs. Dallas – Belichick after a bye week vs. Brandon Weeden?
Denver (-4) vs. Oakland – Not sure Oakland is ready to win a game like this yet.
New York (-7) vs. San Francisco – Worst team in NFL flying across the country led by a quarterback who looks like a poor man’s Blaine Gabbert right now? Take the G-Men.
San Diego (-3.5) vs. Pittsburgh – Mike Vick is washed and the Steelers secondary is terrible.
Mailing Question! (From Mark Phelan)
Why did the Jets enter this season with no one to return punts or kickoffs? Reminds me of that game when Rex didn’t even bother to put anyone back to field punts.
Is there some roster logic to this?
What would you have done, and if you don’t agree with this policy what would you recommend the Jets do to improve this deficiency?
The Jets plan was to have Chris Owusu return kicks (showed some ability last season and is probably the fastest guy on the roster) and Jeremy Kerley to return punts (preferring security to explosiveness). I don’t have a problem with Kerley on punts, even though I’m aware he can be frustrating to watch because he has protected the ball well over the past two seasons. At kick return,er Zac Stacy was a poor fallback plan but Owusu should be back either vs. Washington or New England. The Jets worked out Travaris Cadet and personally I’d sign him to replace Stacy, as he offers more on both special teams and offense.
Julian Edelman – Good for 8 catches for 80-100 yards every week
Charles Clay – Bills top target in the passing game
Martellus Bennett – Cutler’s go to guy
Philip Rivers – Will cook vs. Pittsburgh secondary
Jordan Matthews – Due for a big week against a bad secondary