The TOJ Roundtable is back. Make sure to give everybody a follow on Twitter and to let us know your opinion down in the comment section below! Today’s question is…
What are your projections for the New York Jets wide receivers in 2015?
Joe Caporoso – It is exciting to be writing about a group of receivers who don’t include Clyde Gates or Stephen Hill. Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker should be target hogs in this offense and if you take the projections from the linked article matched up to Marshall and Decker’s rate of reception to target, it breaks out to Marshall at 83 catches and Decker at 80, which sounds about right. Marshall will probably be a touch over 1,000 yards while Decker will hover right around 1,000. I’d anticipate Marshall finishing with somewhere between 7-9 touchdowns and Decker with 5-7. Jeremy Kerley will be in the 40-50 reception range, around 500 yards and have a touchdown or two. Devin Smith can hopefully be the 2015 Jets version of 1998 Dedric Ward (that season Ward had 25 receptions, 477 yards, 4 TDs). I’m not sure the overall yards and TDs will be quite that high but hopefully the yards per catch jumps off the page in a similar way.
Dalbin Osorio – I’ve been incredibly bullish on the Jets wide receivers, so I’m doubling down on my expectations. I think Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker both go over 1,000 yards and 7 touchdowns and Marshall will be a Pro Bowler. Marshall is the best WR the Jets have had in years. Eric Decker was the best WR the Jets had last year statistically since 2009. I think Jeremy Kerley is going to have a productive year out of the slot, as he takes a lot of Jace Amaro’s targets and becomes a mismatch nightmare. Devin Smith is going to be almost used as a gimmick player in the sense that his contributions will be mainly opening up the underneath routes for Kerley, Marshall, and Decker.
AJ Sicignano – This is collectively, the most talented group of skill position players the Jets have rostered in a long time. The biggest question mark unfortunately is at QB but the talent from this receiving corps should facilitate Geno in elevating his game.
I believe Marshall will eclipse 1,000 yards receiving, finishing anywhere between 1,050-1,150 and finding the end zone 9 times. Decker will finish between 800-1,000 yards and with 7 touchdowns. Kerley and Smith will be interesting targets as both should be effective when on the field. Kerley should score more than the one time he did last year. I’ll go with 3 touchdowns and around 400-500 yards. Finally, I think the rookie Devin Smith reels in 25-35 receptions, 330 yards and 3 scores. If those numbers pan out that puts Geno at 22 touchdowns, not counting any coming from the tight end position, which is right where he should be at if the Jets want to be playing meaningful December games.
Jason Wiles – Thanks to the efforts of the new Jets FO, the wide receiver corps is arguably at its best since Woody Johnson took over the franchise. A Jets WR has not earned Pro Bowl honors since Keyshawn Johnson in 1999. This year could see that changing.
The improvements to the WRs should lead to Geno preforming better, which is key to keeping Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker fed. Given both of their ability to shake off defenders, we should see high YAC numbers off screens and bunch formations. I see Marshall going for 1,200 yards and 6 TDs, as there will probably be a focus on the ground game in goal line situations. Decker should see similar numbers to his last campaign with a drop in targets and a drop in coverage quality against him, putting him between 800-1,000 yards with 6 or so TDs. A big number of those should be coming in the Red Zone, as he is a crisp route runner with a history of production inside the 20. Kerley should finish with about 400-500 yards, and Devin Smith should be cruising along at 400 with around 25 receptions and 2-4 TDs.