One Week Down – New York Jets 53 Man Roster Prediction

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The New York Jets have one pre-season game in the books. It was a fairly good overall performance but the Sunday injuries to Dee Milliner and Dexter McDougle have thrown many into a frenzy. It sounds like Milliner should be back by week two at the latest and while McDougle was showing intriguing potential…he was still a third round rookie. Regardless, let’s reset our roster projection as the Jets prepare for the Cincinnati Bengals…

Quarterback (2)

  • Geno Smith
  • Mike Vick

The Jets decide to roll the dice by putting Tahj Boyd on the practice squad, while Matt Simms doesn’t stick as the Jets opt to beef up other positions instead of carrying three quarterbacks.

Running Back (5)

  • Chris Ivory
  • Chris Johnson
  • Bilal Powell
  • Daryl Richardson
  • Tommy Bohanon (FB)

Ivory’s banged up ribs and Powell’s balky hamstring only further amplify the need to keep Richardson around. Neither Bohanon or Chad Young have flashed much yet, so Bohanon gets the nod due to his familiarity with the offense. 

Tight End (3)

  1. Jeff Cumberland
  2. Jace Amaro
  3. Zach Sudfeld

No surprises here. We saw a handful of formations against Indy that had all three of these guys on the field together and multiple looks with Amaro and Sudfeld at WR. 

Wide Receiver (5)

  • Eric Decker
  • Jeremy Kerley
  • David Nelson
  • Stephen Hill
  • Jalen Saunders

The type of tight ends the Jets have allow them to keep five here. Jacoby Ford doesn’t merit a roster spot to watch kickoffs fly over his head and out of the end-zone. Maybe they can revisit adding him later in the year when the cold weather leads to kickoffs not traveling as far. Greg Salas and Quincy Enunwa are still in the mix here, particularly if Hill continues to milk carton this pre-season.

Offensive Line (9)

  • Nick Mangold
  • D’Brickashaw Ferguson
  • Willie Colon
  • Breno Giacomini
  • Brian WInters
  • Oday Aboushi
  • Dalton Freeman
  • Dakota Dozier
  • William Campbell

Aboushi can function as a swing backup at guard or tackle, while Freeman can be Nick Mangold’s top backup. Dozier is developmental player who the team will hope they won’t have to be use until 2015. It isn’t out of the question for the Jets to add a veteran swing tackle for depth after initial roster cuts. Campbell could be let go when Barnes is brought back on the roster. 

Defensive Line (7)

  • Muhammad Wilkerson
  • Sheldon Richardson
  • Damon Harrison
  • Leger Douzable
  • Kenrick Ellis
  • TJ Barnes
  • IK Enemkpali

IK could technically be listed as a linebacker but we’ll throw him here. He continues to make an impression on specials and off the bench on defense this August and ends up with a roster spot. Barnes is groomed as Ellis’ roster replacement for 2015.

Linebacker (9)

  • David Harris
  • Demario Davis
  • Calvin Pace
  • Quinton Coples
  • Nick Bellore
  • Jason Babin
  • Antwan Barnes (PUP)
  • Trevor Reilly
  • AJ Edds

The Jets load up here and hope Barnes can make an impact when returning in October. Edds has flashed all summer and was all over the field against the Colts. Reilly also made a nice impression in his debut. Jeremiah George gets sent off to the practice squad and Garrett McIntyre is a veteran cut. 

Secondary (11)

  • Dee Milliner
  • Dimitri Patterson
  • Kyle Wilson
  • Darrin Walls
  • Ellis Lankster
  • Veteran CB
  • Calvin Pryor
  • Antonio Allen
  • Dawan Landry
  • Rontez Miles
  • Jaiquawn Jarrett

They are going to add a corner at some point, likely after the first round of roster cuts (keep an eye on Cleveland and Kansas City) and the Jets will keep five safeties, as their defense will increase the amount of looks they use that feature three safeties on the field at once.

Specials (3)

  • Nick Folk
  • Ryan Quigley
  • Tanner Purdum

The Jets would be wise to bring in another leg besides Jacob Schum to push Quigley. 

  • Jeremiah Johnson

    This roster prediction seems pretty reasonable based on what we’ve seen to date.

    I’m not clear on the Barnes situation. If he is on the PUP list, shouldn’t he not count against the 53 man roster?

    While Stephen Hill may still be getting an edge based on former draft position, the reports I’ve read indicate Enunwa is healthy now & has been looking good the last 3 days with big plays & catches in traffic.

  • KAsh

    We disagree on kick returners, so at this point I will consider further discussion on them as kicking a dead horse.

    I like how you bumped up some of the unknowns that flashed their skills so far. It is exciting to see the depth we have. The defense’s entire front seven is separating itself as a force and I will make a prediction: nobody on this defensive line will be without a job this year. (Maybe Grady and Thompson (?) but only because we have not seen them on the field; they might still make someone’s PS.) And with Edds, George, Reilly, and Bellore, it is nice to witness what depth at MLB looks like. I think Barnes sticks. I think a player that can flip between nose tackle and defensive end is too valuable; he can relieve both Harrison and Richardson to maximize his playing time, both this year and in the future. (And you know how much Rex wants to trot out a backfield of Richardson, Harrison, Ellis, and Barnes for a goalline carry from the one-yard line.) I do think you have to put IK with the LBs, as he does everything Babin does.

    That does point to one issue. With IK, you would have ten LBs and another six DLs. To cram sixteen players into the front seven (and another eleven into the secondary), you had to pare down the offense to its bare bones. The offense is not talented enough for that. When you have less ability, you have to get cute with your tactics. The more variety you have, the cuter you can get. There are also stamina issues. It would be better for the Jets to make some hard choices and pare down the defense than have to play with a handcuffed offense. You can start by looking at which roles are overfilled. Do you really need Barnes and Babin? And Enemkpali? Are you going to take Coples out to replace him with any of those three for any other reason than to rest him? Pace is an experienced edge setter. Harris and Davis are entrenched at MLB. You can have one backup MLB that can play both Mike and Will, a backup that can play Sam, Mike, and Will, and a pass-rush specialist. The competition would be between Bellore, George, and Edds; McIntyre and Reilly; and Barnes, Babin, and Enemkpali. Afterwards, you would have six DLs, 7 LBs, and three extra players for your offense: an extra tight end if we are going to use three TE formations, a backup left tackle so Giacomini is not starting there at any point in the season, and someone to return those kicks.

  • Joe Caporoso

    You are right JJ, that was my bad. I needed one more as Barnes wouldn’t count until he was activated. So I added on Campbell as a 9th OL, although it wouldn’t surprise me if it ended up being a veteran OT.

  • JetOrange

    Roster was very well done, with some exceptions. Like Kash’s post. With two running QB’s I think you keep 3 quarterbacks. Simm’s showed he can run the offense, has that huge arm, didn’t do anything stupid in the preseason game and was a little more mobile than I thought, deserves a spot on merit. Boyd does not deserve a PS spot, he just doesn’t have the arm for this level. Jacoby Ford showed some receiving skills against the Colts and gives you that deep vertical speed. Geno throws a nice long ball, Marty likes to take some shots, Hill and Ford threaten the top of the defense, Kerley and Decker work their magic underneath. Cut Richardson, your fifth running back on PS, currently it would be Michael Smith. Ijalana over Campbell, Aboushi can back up at three positions but he can’t play LT.
    TJ Barnes played against the Colts, so I do not understand his PUP designation. TJ could be on scholarship this season, because this may be Ellis last season as a Jet, look at the Linval Joseph contract with the Vikings. Jets will not pick up a significant veteran CB, not Idzik style, although he may admit to himself that he misread the CB market in 2014

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  • http://twitter.com/RobbyJerzee Robby Jerzee (@RobbyJerzee)

    I agree with everything but cutting Simms thing he very important.

  • http://gravatar.com/cmdrsmooth Will G

    Simms will stick as an emergency QB on game day.

    Need to keep More WRs, including both Salas and Enunwa.

    I can live without LB Bellefore and CB Kyle Wilson. I haven’t seen much from WR Hill so He is definitely a bubble guy.

  • Andrew

    Can we Trade Ellis to Texans for Jonathan Joseph ?

  • JetOrange

    Joseph has a contract of 7.5 million,8.5 in 2015, that’s why the Texans want to dump the guy

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  • JetOrange

    @ Andrew, kindly note Ellis could be a solution for some other team, could have excellent trade value, extortion is the rule here

  • Dennis Smith

    Schum has consistently punted the ball despite the fact that he gets bad snaps 95% of the time from the back up longsnapper. He has good directional and hang time and rarely mis-hits one. gets the ball off in a quick 2 step approach and quigley lags with a three step. Quigley remains inconsistent despite the obvious benefit of taking snaps from the starting longsnapper.