TOJ – New York Jets 53 Man Roster Prediction

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With the New York Jets first preseason game 10 days away, I thought it’d be a great time to predict exactly what the 53 man roster will look like once the smoke settles. Please feel free to leave your responses in the comments, as they are always appreciated…

Quarterbacks
1. Geno Smith
2. Michael Vick
3. Tahj Boyd
Analysis
Geno Smith, barring a Mark Sanchez-like implosion, will be the starting quarterback of this football team for Week 1. Vick has said all of the right things, and should be a great sounding board for Geno as well as a quality insurance policy. He’s easily the best backup QB the Jets have had under Rex. Boyd will beat out Matt Simms for the third/emergency QB spot.

Running Backs
1. Chris Ivory
2. Chris Johnson
3. Bilal Powell
4. Daryl Richardson
Analysis
I think the Jets elect to carry four running backs. Ivory will start, with Johnson providing the change of pace, and Powell being the Swiss Army Knife that can do it all. I think that this will be a run heavy offense and, with concerns about Johnson and Ivory’s health, carrying Richardson is something of a need right now.

Fullbacks
1. Tommy Bohanon
Analysis:
Chad Young is one of my favorite guys trying to make the team right now, but I think Bohanon will provide continuity on the offense and Idzik does not appear to want to cut his draft picks. Plus, Young may be better suited for the practice squad for a year.

Wide Receivers
1. Eric Decker
2. Stephen Hill
3. Jeremy Kerley
4. David Nelson
5. Jalen Saunders
Analysis
The surprise for some may be Stephen Hill sticking on the final 53. I wouldn’t be shocked if he starts opposite Eric Decker. By all accounts, Hill has had a very good camp thus far (we’ve heard this before, I know) and he will get every opportunity to seize the other starting WR position. Nelson is a 100% lock, in my opinion. Saunders beats out Ford for both the punt returner’ job and the final WR slot. Shaq Evans and Quincy Enunwa go to the practice squad or the IR with “injuries.”

Tight Ends
1. Jace Amaro
2. Jeff Cumberland
3. Zach Sudfeld
Analysis
As deep a group as the Jets have had in many years at TE. Each are versatile enough to line up all over the formation and create matchup problems for linebackers. Amaro and Cumberland should see the field enough for one to have typical “number two WR” numbers. Sudfeld gives the Jets insurance for both, and a big red zone target.

Offensive Line
1. Nick Mangold
2. D’Brickashaw Ferguson
3. Willie Colon
4. Breno Giacomini
5. Brian Winters
6. Oday Aboushi
7. Dakota Dozier
8. Dalton Freeman
9. William Campbell
Analysis
Willie Colon’s injury has allowed for Oday Aboushi and Brian Winters to rotate at both guard positions. This kind of versatility will definitely help in the future. Dozier is my favorite OL prospect out of this group and I think he eventually replaces Colon at RG. Freeman was arguably the best rookie lineman for the Jets last summer, so no surprise that he makes it here as Mangold’s primary backup.

Defensive Line
1. Muhammad Wilkerson
2. Damon Harrison
3. Sheldon Richardson
4. Legar Douzable
5. Jason Babin
6. Kenrick Ellis
Analysis
The Jets are deep on the defensive line and as you’ll see shortly, in the front 7. Douzable played very well last year, Harrison is entering a contract year, and Richardson seems hungry to prove that last season wasn’t a fluke. Adding Babin gives this group a pure pass rusher, something it didn’t have last year.

Linebackers
1. Quinten Coples
2. Demario Davis
3. David Harris
4. Calvin Pace
5. Jeremiah George
6. Trevor Reilly
7. Garrett McIntyre
*.Antwan Barnes
Analysis:
Reilly makes the team and, when McIntyre is eventually cut to make room for Barnes, takes McIntyre’s spot. George sticks because of his ability to back up Harris and Davis. Barnes begins the season on the PUP list, but is listed here because he will be on the final 53. Coples, Reilly, and Barnes give the Jets three potential edge rushers.

Defensive Backs
1. Dee Milliner
2. Dmitri Patterson
3. Dexter McDougle
4. Kyle Wilson
5. Darrin Walls
6. Ellis Lankster
7. Jeremy Reeves
8. Calvin Pryor
9. Antonio Allen
10. Dawan Landry
11. Rontez Miles
12. Jaiquawn Jarrett
Analysis:
Patterson will eventually shift to the slot cornerback position when McDougle is ready to start on the outside. Walls provides good depth, and Lankster is a special teams ace. Wilson will excel in the dime cornerback role, as well as a safety in sub packages. I think the Jets keep both Miles and Jarrett, as Rex has been talking up Rontez and Jarrett is a favorite for his versatility.

Special Teams
Kicker: Nick Folk
Punter: Jacob Schum
Long Snapper: Tanner Purdum
Analysis
Folk isn’t going anywhere. I think Quigley’s days are numbered, as Schum has a potentially stronger leg.

  • http://twitter.com/Beamen321 Beamen321 (@Beamen321)

    I really like this 53 and in my opinion, would be the best balance for this year and the future. Do you think there is any chance that they don’t go with a FB? I know they played Ivory in that role some last year.

  • Simon Gribben

    Chad Young is too good to be on the PS. Choose him or lose him!

  • https://plus.google.com/102193327669458606082 Dan Leyes

    Interesting. It appears you have 3 backup guards and no backup tackle. Thoughts?

  • pftfan

    Reeves over Ras-I-Dowling? I just don’t see it.

  • https://plus.google.com/106608295832882865745 Joe Barra

    There’s no way Hill makes the team over the big Shaqtus

  • John P

    Can’t see a fourth rd pick (shaq) not making the team, jets gonna carry 6 wr’s and only three rb’s. Only way Richardson makes team is if somebody gets hurt in training camp which is a decent possibility

  • The Dude Abides

    Hill may be having a good camp but he needs a great one , as well as some great preseason games. Deff bring 4 rb in bank on ivory being down and needing to limit CJ.

  • John Hunter

    isIsn’t Babin listed as OLB? Something tells me that’s done for a purpose, we’ll see.

    It’ll be extremely disappointing if Hill is given another golden opportunity, and makes the Bust label official. I personally don’t trust him

    If CJ is running like Chris Johnson, sorry injury prone is my change up, #21 starts, especially if looks the best in Preseason. With CJ in on 1st downs, the D can’t assume pass or run. MM needs his flexibility to keep the D honest.

  • Steve Windeler

    I agree with Beamen. Let’s lose Bohanon, and carry an extra Shaq.
    I’m also betting Reeves is out, and Dowling in.
    then swap McIntyre for Cunningham and we’re set.

  • Kyle

    Reeves will not make this team. How could you leave out Nick Bellore? There is no way he gets cut. Miles will probably get cut since he can’t play on defense. I think Rex will go with Jarrett over Miles since he can play defense and on ST.

  • Kyle

    Also I bet Campbell gets cut. Ijilana will make the team because he’s the only backup tackle.

  • Northern King

    I like this, especially having Reeves over Dowling, I think they’ll keep one of the younger guys over Dowling… The big miss to me is Bellore, I’d be shocked if he did not make this team

  • Joe Caporoso

    Interesting read DO! Personally, I’d make a few changes:

    1 – Young over T-Bo
    2 – Bellore on the roster, Reeves off
    3 – Ijalana over Will The Thrill.

  • Dalbin Osorio

    Thank you for reading guys, very much appreciated. I’ll reply in general terms since so many of you responded.

    Aboushi was actually drafted as a tackle and has experience playing the position, so his versatility (as well as Freeman’s) allow for the Jets to carry the 9 best OL. I love Chad Young and really hope he beats out Bohanon, but think Rex may opt for continuity on the offensive side of the ball with so many new guys to break in. I do think that the Jets take one of the younger guys (Reeves or Patrick, although I think Reeves has a higher ceiling) over Dowling just because of their ability to contribute on special teams and Dowling’s injury history. Stephen Hill making the 53 man roster is one of the more sure things for me, barring a terrible preseason. 3rd year is usually when WRs take that next step, although I definitely share your frustration with him. Evans has struggled with drops so far. Richardson gives the Jets another RB; remember, the plan was to carry Goodson, Powell, Johnson, and Ivory. The Jets will still run the ball, and they will need fresh RBs. CJ may start the same way LT started, meaning purely out of sentiment, but Ivory is the feature back barring ineffectiveness or injury. I think McIntyre’s time is running out on the team; Reilly is better and can actually provide something on defense. Bellore and GEorge is interesting because George has higher upside, but Bellore is one of Rex’s favorite guys. Miles can play on the defense and contribute on specials, so I think he sticks. Jarrett sticks as well because of his versatility playing the run and as a deep cover safety. Babin is listed as an OLB right now, but I think Coples will play more OLB than he does. He’s a DPR (designated pass rusher).

    Thank you guys for replying, great points all around!

  • Stevesc

    I don’t see Boyd beating out Simm’s for the third spot. So far Boyd is having a horrible camp, as expected for a rookie. Simm’s already knows the system and would be a more reliable backup if, in the worst case scenario, Smith and Vick were not able to play. Play in the pre season will determine who it will be. I know Boyd is Rex’s pick, so I hope politics don’t get in the way.

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