Turn On The Jets 12 Pack, Offseason Edition: Volume 1

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The Turn On The Jets 12 Pack is back and in full offseason mode. Cheer up, it is only a little less than 7 months until football starts again! Stay with us on Twitter and Facebook to keep the discussion going…

1. The NFL Draft is still very, very far away. Remember at this time last year, Geno Smith was the consensus #1 overall pick to the Kansas City Chiefs. The point is that things are going to change. However, after an initial look through the projected top prospects, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Jets waited until the 2nd or 3rd round to target a receiver. It seems a little more likely the best player available at #18 will be a tight end, safety or linebacker. This draft is DEEP at receiver and the team may be content to supplement the position through free agency and with a second day pick.

2. Speaking of free agent receivers, I wouldn’t put too much stock in today’s New York Daily News report about the team having interest in Jeremy Maclin and Emmanuel Sanders. Why? Take a look through the names the Daily News linked with the Jets around this time last year and then notice how none of them are on the team. We know John Idzik is keeping things under a tight wrap in Florham Park (considering we haven’t seen a transaction broken by anybody but the @NYJets official Twitter account since he took over). The report is likely based on guesswork and assumption, which is fine but don’t take it as some inside lead that the Jets are leaning towards those players.

Maclin is highly unlikely to leave Philadelphia. Coming off an injury, he will be looking for a one year “show me” type deal and there is no reason he’d leave the Eagles for it. Philadelphia will be happy to pay him instead of Riley Cooper (who isn’t very good) and Maclin will be in a system that will inflate his numbers before he looks for another bigger contract in free agency. As for Sanders, he is coming off a disappointing season where he was basically outproduced by Jerricho Cotchery despite the Steelers having high hopes for him. He only caught 67 of the 112 passes thrown to him last season with a 11.0 YPC. I’d rather pay Julian Edelman than Emmanuel Sanders.

In my opinion, the Jets top target should be Golden Tate. This article does an excellent job explaining why. If Maclin shook free, he’d be my number two option, followed by Edelman.

3. Many Jets fans remain adamant about Mark Sanchez coming back. You can argue until your mouth falls off about how he could be productive in Marty Mornhinweg’s system but you are ultimately wasting your breath on a player who is likely to be cut well before the NFL Draft. I truly believe Sanchez missing an entire season has improved him in the eyes of many Jets fans, who don’t remember over the last eight NFL games he started, he had the following stats: 4 touchdowns, 11 interceptions and five games with a completion percentage under 52…he produced like that as a 4th year veteran, which is scary. As for the Mornhinweg argument, Sanchez was average at best in training camp and the pre-season in his offense, still producing an ugly turnover in each of the three games he played in.

In the right situation and after a couple more years of coaching up, I do think Sanchez could be a productive game manager with a talented supporting cast around him. The ship has sailed here…on both sides of the relationship.

4. So, who then at veteran quarterback? I don’t anticipate the Jets spending the money on Josh McCown. There has been Mike Vick chatter but he left Philadelphia on bad terms with Marty Mornhinweg. Tavaris Jackson, Shaun Hill or Matt Cassel could be all targets along with Chad Henne. Personally, I’d prefer Henne or Hill. Both can push Geno in training camp and both can step in to start a few games or come in for relief if necessary.

5. I wouldn’t go too overboard on the Jets duplicating the Seattle blueprint. Both teams have a physical running game and a low cost starting quarterback (and obviously Geno Smith has a LONG way to go to being anywhere Russell Wilson)…outside of that, I don’t see too many similarities yet. Remember, Seattle runs predominantly a strict, traditional cover 3 scheme. Rex Ryan doesn’t do anything predominantly, strict or traditional. He is constantly mixing and matching everything on defense. The Seahawks defense is unique and special because they have the best safety in the NFL in Earl Thomas and the best overall safety duo with Thomas and Kam Chancellor. One thing to learn from Seattle’s defense? The value of the safety position. I’m not sure they are willing to spend the money but a duo of Jairus Byrd and Antonio Allen full time at safety could go a long way to improving the Jets pass defense issues.

6. For all the concerns about the Jets rookie class last season, it is overwhelmingly likely that four of them will be opening day starters in 2014 (Geno Smith, Sheldon Richardson, Brian Winters and Dee Milliner). It is also likely both Oday Aboushi and Will Campbell will be bumped into prominent backup roles. Richardson should be nothing short of a serious All-Pro candidate next season while if Milliner, Geno and Winters build on their progress the final four weeks of 2013, all should be somewhere in-between competent and above average starters (particularly, Milliner).

7. If Demario Davis cannot take strides with his pass coverage this season, it is fair to wonder what his true ceiling is. He is blessed with a terrific skillset for an inside linebacker and is already a powerful presence within the team’s locker room but he remains an average overall player because of his liability in the passing game.

8. A part of the appeal of players like Tate and Edelman in free agency is their ability to immediately upgrade the punt return position. Statistically, they were the top two punt returners in football last season. The Jets were AWFUL in this department in 2013 and it shouldn’t be slept on how valuable it would be to drastically upgrade the position.

9. I don’t think either Austin Howard or Nick Folk will get anywhere near sniffing free agency. Look for the Jets to handle both their contracts well in advance of other teams having an opportunity to after them.

10. Quinton Coples might be the biggest physical freak on the Jets roster. There is no reason he shouldn’t be a double digit sack guy every season. Let’s hope he can put it together and stay healthy for 16 games in 2014. The team still needs a speed rusher off the edge, outside of Antwan Barnes coming back, but if Coples can reach potential it will knock the Jets defense up to the next level.

11. I think we’ve seen the last of Kellen Winslow Jr, Jeff Cumberland and Konrad Reuland. Outside of Zach Sudfeld, the entire tight end position is going to be revamped this offseason through the draft and free agency.

12. My current top four WRs in the NFL Draft: Sammy Watkins, Mike Evans, Odell Beckham Jr, Marqise Lee.

12 thoughts on “Turn On The Jets 12 Pack, Offseason Edition: Volume 1

  1. Pingback: Today’s Jets Twit Directory Links February 7, 2014 | New York Jets Online Directory

  2. I think they bring Cumberland back on a one-year contract. He sucks, but he will be very cheap (~$1 million?) and I just do not see them completely remaking both the tight ends and the wide receivers in one season. Another TE will be brought in, possibly two through FA and the draft, so it is an open question if Cumberland survives training camp on the roster.

    If Cooper or Maclin hit FA, they should be on our radar. The passing game needs to start scoring, too, or we will not improve. Cooper has been good in the red zone and would be a better fit at split end than Tate or Kerley.

    PS Where do I jump for #10?

  3. Safety is important and with our front I say we should go big and bring in both Byrd and TJ Ward, madden style!

  4. I like Tate but you realize you may need to pay him 7.5 to 9 million dollars per year right?

    Just don’t like him that much.

  5. If you can get Tate at $5mm, I see it. With the large amount of available cap space out there, I think he’ll be paid something like Cruz, A and P Garcon got: around 8.5mm APY with between 13, and 15 guaranteed. I think that’s too much for him.

    Joe..to point 1: Donte Moncrief, right now projects in that 3rd round area..good size, speed and production against SEC CBs.

  6. Agreed on Coples, he’s a monster. Barnes coming back will be a great addition, but I expect them to go after Worlids, Orakpo or Houston to replace the Pace spot.

  7. Joe:

    I doubt Tate signs for less than 6.5 million per year under any circumstance (other than Seahawks).

    Danny Amendola got 5 years approx 30 million. Tate is more accomplished, more durable and returns punts.

    I just can’t see a team getting him for less than 6.5 to 8 million. I could see it even getting higher under the right circumstances.

    If he would cost 5 to 6 million APY I think the Seahawks may just resign him for that. Especially since he said he may take a hometown discount to remain.

  8. Hard to tell Harold, because all it takes is one team to value him at that rate for his price to get bumped into that range. However, I do still think he can be had in the 6-7M per year range. I also cannot see Seattle paying anything over 4-5M per year for him. I honestly don’t even think they’ll engage him in serious contract talks because with Harvin healthy this year and Kearse and Baldwin primed for bigger roles, they’ll likely allocate their money elsewhere (Bennett this season and Wilson/Thomas/Sherman/Okung long term). Also, since that initial statement Tate has basically publicly rebuked that he’d take a hometown discount.

    http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2014/02/06/tate-sounds-less-likely-to-give-a-hometown-discount/

    I’d still rather pay Tate 7M per year than Decker 10M per year and I’d still rather pay Tate 7M per year than Sanders or James Jones 5M per year.

    I don’t think Maclin leaves Philly but if he does, I’d be interested in putting together a 1 year show me offer for him.

  9. I ususally say draft guys like Tate, but if the price is under 6 million (which I did not think it would be) I would seriously sign him. His is a WR who gets open as you can see by his catch rate of 65% of the passes thrown his way. Also he breaks tackles and according to PFF is the most elusive WR in the NFL ahead of Percy Harvin.

    Lastly he returns punts which is a huge need for the Jets. So if we can get a guy I have been reluctant about because of price, I say go for it!

    Now if only I get you to look at Hakeem Nicks…

  10. Pingback: Turn On The Jets 12 Pack, Offseason Edition: Volume 1 | STL News Desk

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