The Turn On The Jets Roundtable is back to debate issues surrounding the New York Jets. Make sure to give all of the writers a follow on Twitter and if there is a question you want to see us debate, leave it in the comment section!
What are your predictions for the 2013 New York Jets season?
Mike Donnelly – Tomorrow I’m going to be posting my full season preview Stock Watch, so be sure to check back for that. We’ve all seen the projections for the Jets everywhere that range somewhere between “awful” and “very awful”, but I don’t think the Jets are nearly that bad. There are upgrades all along the defense, at running back, at offensive coordinator, and perhaps even at quarterback with the rookie Geno Smith taking over. A lot of this season is being placed on the shoulders of young Mr. Smith and how he performs will go a long way toward deciding the fate of the 2013 Jets. There are reasons to be hopeful, and my official prediction is 8-8 for this year’s squad.
Cole Patterson – Lets make this simple:
Bucs: Win (Because the Jets interior D-Line will dominate the Bucs weakened interior O-Line. Ivory will run wild). @Pats: Loss (Because Tom Brady on a short week). Bills: Win (Because the Bills run D). @Titans: Loss (Because Chris Johnson will take advantage of a Jets run D still coming into its own). @Falcons: Loss (Because Matt Ryan, Julio Jones, Roddy White, Tony Gonzalez, and Steven Jackson sounds more like a fantasy team than an NFL roster). Steelers: Loss (Because the Steelers’ defense will surprise people and either Antonio Brown or Emmanuel Sanders will abuse Milliner). Pats: Loss (Because Tom Brady). @Bengals: Loss (Because the Hard Knocks darlings look to be sporting a dominant defense and a well rounded offense, too consistent for the Jets to overcome). Saints: Loss (Because Drew Brees will abuse the Jets safeties and control the middle of the field). @Bills: Win (Because Geno Smith will have some games under his belt and let it fly after Ivory opens up the pass with some solid early runs). @Ravens: Loss (Because like the division rival Bengals, they are just too well rounded. Plus Ray Rice could have his way with the Jets linebackers). Dolphins: Win (Because by this point in the season Lamar Miller and Mike Wallace will prove to not be true #1 players and the Phins offense will struggle against the Jets pass rush firing on all cylinders). Raiders: Win (Because Darren McFadden will be in a body cast, the defense has zero proven players, and even IF Terrelle Pryor is the real deal he has no wide receivers). @Panthers: Win (Because Rex, with his job on the line, will have a plan to stop the Cam Newton one man show). Browns: Win (Because Brandon Weeden…) @Dolphins: Loss (Because the Jets will find a way to lose this one, roster is too young and inexperienced for a “win-and-we’re-in” scenario). END RECORD: 7-9
Notes: *The Jets will be 2-7 before the second Buffalo game. *They will be 7-8 going into game 16 against the Phins, with the playoffs on the line in a weak AFC. *Other teams vying for the wildcard will be Colts, Ravens, and Dolphins. *Season hinges on a lot of factors, I tried to account for rookie mistakes from Geno and the rest.
Mike O’Connor – Well yikes, I’m not even going to try and out-do Cole’s answer there…
I hope I’m not labeled the pessimist of the group, but I have the Jets finishing 6-10 this year, and that’s being quite optimistic. Ultimately, I think most of the season will depend on Rex Ryan’s handling of the quarterback situation. If Geno Smith has anything near a decent performance in the games he freely starts due to Sanchez’s injury, I believe he should be ridden as the starter until he suffers mistakes that go behind just rookie growing pains. If Ryan gives in to the media’s glare and gives Sanchez the job back without total failure from Smith, I think he’s fallen into the trap that he has constantly fallen for: mistakes in willpower. If such flaws are evident in his coaching this year, I think he gets the boot, and deservingly so.
Also, I just believe that this Jets’ optimism has come from pure desire to win from the fans. Sure, the defense could potentially be more explosive this year as a whole with the off-season moves, but you’d be in for a tough time to try and convince me that the Jets have less holes than they did last year. Most are forgetting how bad the safety play could be this year, or the same with the play at inside linebacker. Oh, would you look at that? Coincidentally, these lingering flaws are flaws that Rex Ryan has ignored for quite some time now, even though the positions have both undoubtedly gotten worse.
I do think that the running game and receiving corps have enormous potential, but they won’t correlate to wins unless Smith holds up his part of the deal, which is bold to think he can at this point in time. In fact, writing this all down has made me think of how ridiculous playoff hopes are. Please, feel free to rub this in my face if the Jets make my year and surprise me, but they won’t. Frankly, the rebuilding process that’s only in it’s early-mid stage from John Idzik doesn’t deserve it anyway, it would crush the franchise with false hope. I hate to be so negative, but it’s the reality.
Connor Rogers – I’m going to roll with the general consensus that the Jets are about a six win team. Many reporters and analysts have them at around three wins in a mocking fashion, which is quite disgusting in the national media. A Rex Ryan defense alone will have the Jets at about four to five wins. Assuming they get a bounce or two go in their favor, the Jets will come out with a 6-10 record. While this may be disappointing, progress will be made. I personally feel Geno Smith will be a franchise quarterback. The front seven is young and very promising. This is a building year for the Jets who will be heading in a very positive direction next offseason, loaded with cap space and draft choices.
Mike Nolan – All in all, I think the Jets are about a 6 to 8 win team. If Sanchez were healthy and starting I would probably lean towards 8 wins as they could have realistically started the season 3-1. Because Geno is the starter, I think the Jets will get off to a slower start offensively not because of the talent at QB, but because of the learning curve and adjustment that Geno will need to make to the pro game. With Geno at the helm, I see some promise in the first 4 games, but I think the Jets will go into Atlanta with a 1-3 record. Could easily see Rex Ryan’s defense starting the season hot and making this 3-1.) After that, it is a tough stretch of games where the Jets could realistically lose 5 in a row, but I think they will beat Pittsburgh (led by Willie Colon with a huge chip on his shoulder). In the end, the Jets will finish off the season pretty hot as Geno gets more comfortable in the offense and they face an easier schedule. They will beat Buffalo, Miami (once), Oakland, Carolina, and Cleveland at the end of the season to finish strong and give fans hope as they build towards 2014.
Dalbin Osorio – Predictions, predictions. I could just go out on a limb, put all my chips on the table, and say that this team is going to the playoffs, ala Jim Fassel. In fact, that’s exactly what I’m going to do. I think that the Jets go 10-6 and make the playoffs, and here’s why. The biggest improvement to this team that won six games last year is the addition of offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg. All preseason for the Jets, you saw wide receivers running free and with space to make plays in the open field, and I think that having Marty is the biggest reason this team makes the playoffs.
Second, an improved pass rush, led by Mo Wilkerson (the 2nd best defensive end in football behind JJ Swatt), Antwan Barnes, Sheldon Richardson, and the Quiet Coyote Quinton Coples removes the need for Rex to dial up exotic blitzes to get to the QB. A year of development for Stephen Hill and Jeremy Kerley, along with the return of Santonio Holmes and an (if healthy) upgrade of Kellen Winslow Jr over Dustin Keller give the Jets starting QB (at this point Geno Smith) better weapons on the outside than a rookie Mark Sanchez had when the Jets won 9 games and went to the playoffs four seasons ago. Lastly, the schedule is manageable. I think the Jets exit September with a 3-1 record (wins over TB, BUF, and TEN) and enter the bye with a record of 5-4 (wins over the Steelers and Patriots at home during their “Murderer’s Row” part of their schedule). This puts the Jets in prime position to make a run in the second half, and I have them reeling off wins against BUF, MIA twice, OAK and CAR (lone losses to Cleveland and Baltimore), and getting into the playoffs as a #5 seed.