The results of week 1 in the NFL frequently lead to harsh overreactions of both the positive and negative manner. You never want to invest too much into a single game. The Philadelphia Eagles may not score 2,000 points this season, for example. David Wilson will probably fumble less than 30 times in 2013…probably. The defending Super Bowl Champs aren’t heading to a 2-14 year where they allow 50 points on a weekly basis. As for our New York Jets, there is reason for tempered optimism.
Unless you were looking to make a cheap joke, it was clear the Jets weren’t quite as bad as everybody made them out to be heading into the season. Were they an expected playoff team? No. Yet, you had to be kidding yourself if you thought they were heading to a 2-14 type record…not with Rex Ryan coaching a defense with so much talent, particularly on the defensive line.
Week 1 was particularly encouraging because a few things we suspected or hoped for, turned out the be true: The Jets defensive line and revamped pass rush is going to be very good, Marty Mornhinweg is going to bring creativity to the offense and Kellen Winslow Jr was a terrific veteran addition. The win was doubly encouraging because of the pleasant surprise of how well Geno Smith played.
Earlier in the week, we received word that New England would be without the following weapons: Shane Vereen, Danny Amendola, Zach Sudfeld and Rob Gronkowski. It also now looks like rain, the great equalizer, will be in the forecast tonight at Gillette Stadium. Jets fans are feeling confident about a game many wrote off as a loss before the season began. Is the confidence misplaced? Let’s crack into the 12 Pack.
1. Geno Smith will have at least one turnover tonight but will also generate a touchdown. He will compete between 55-60% of his passes.
2. Chris Ivory will show signs of life, finishing with over 4 yards per carry and at least one run over 10 yards. The Jets will have much more overall success running the ball than they did last week.
3. Tom Brady is going to play very well, despite being down so many of his top targets. He will have no turnovers but will be sacked at least twice. Brady will throw for two touchdowns and over 225 yards.
4. Julian Edelman will lead New England in receptions and receiving yards, finishing with 6 catches for 90 yards with a touchdown. Kenbrell Thompkins will have less than 30 yards receiving.
5. Stevan Ridley will have 95 yards of total offense and a touchdown. He won’t fumble.
6. Sheldon Richardson will have a sack and be a constant presence in New England’s backfield.
7. Vince Wilfork is going to have a sack and a couple of tackles for a loss. Vlad Ducasse and the Jets offensive line will struggle with him all night. This will be Ducasse’s last start, as the Jets will use the extra prep time before Buffalo to get Brian WInters ready.
8. Stephen Hill will lead the Jets in receptions tonight and get into the end-zone.
9. Kellen Winslow Jr will follow up his strong debut with 4 catches for 55 yards.
10. Ryan Spadola will make his first NFL reception.
11. Santonio Holmes will have 3 receptions for 45 yards, including a couple of big first down conversions.
12. The Jets are going to cover the 12 point spread and keep this one competitive throughout. However, the Patriots will win a tight, relatively ugly one, 23-16.
12 Pack Record – Against the spread (1-0), W/L (1-0)