After going 8-8 last week on the heels of Week 1’s mini disaster, things are starting to look up for me as we head into Week 3. This is the time of the season when you start to get a feel for teams but unfortunately so do the Las Vegas bookmakers and the lines become increasingly difficult. Let’s see if we can go ahead and beat them this week and make a few bucks… you know, if gambling were legal and all.
Chiefs +3 vs. Eagles - Got one! In all honesty, I loved this game and it proved to be just as easy as I thought. And for the record, my Thursday picks get submitted into the “Staff Picks” article here each week and I also post them on Twitter, so check that out of you are looking to follow along (or to fade me, which may be suggested). Taking road teams on the short week is tough, but that doesn’t really apply when the home team doesn’t have a defense. 1 for 1 so far! Let’s keep it rolling.
Packers -2.5 @ Bengals – Hmmmm.. Andy Dalton, huh? I think I’ll pass on that and take Aaron Rodgers and a Packers defense which actually looks improved over a year ago.
Rams +4 @ Cowboys – The Rams let me down last week in Atlanta, but they were kind of running into a buzzsaw as the Falcons were desperate to not start 0-2. This week they have a much easier game in Dallas because quite frankly, the Cowboys stink. Take the points.
Titans -2.5 @ Chargers – Yes, the Chargers looked impressive last week racking up approximately 9,000 yards against the Eagles, but that only translates to about 250 against a real defense, and that’s what the Titans appear to have. Tennessee is destined to be that team that plays close games all year, ends up 6-10 or 7-9, fires their coach, then everyone touts them as a sleeper team next year. They’ll win this one though.
Vikings -6 vs. Browns - I don’t think the Vikings are that good, and the Browns defense is definitely legit. Buuuut… Brian Hoyer? First start? On the road? Willis McGahee’s corpse running the ball? I’ll take a wait-and-see approach with these Browns.
Bucs +7 @ Patriots – The Pats had a few extra days to prepare, but this Bucs team is destined to lose every week in an extremely close, heart-breaking fashion, so I’ll take the points. I’d also make Greg Schiano a -200 favorite to be the first coach fired this season, just barely edging out Ron Rivera.
Cardinals +7.5 @ Saints – This is a mortal lock for the “Backdoor Cover of the Week” award. Arizona will hang in there a little bit, but eventually Drew Brees will carve them up and go up 10-14 late in the game. Then Arizona will march down and get the backdoor cover and will piss off every Saints backer. Feel free to throw the Saints into any 2-team teaser though!
Lions +1.5 @ Redskins – First of all, I’m not going to be like those lame national media guys who won’t say Redskins because they’ve decided to take a moral stand after a few decades of not seeming to mind it. Secondly, this REDSKINS team absolutely sucks. Remember last year when Mike Shanahan basically gave up on the season and said he would use the remaining games to evaluate players before RG3 led them on a crazy run to steal a garbage division and make the playoffs? Yeah, this team is more like that first half of the season version, not the second half version. RG3 isn’t close to the player he was last year, and the defense is a dumpster fire. On the bright side, RG3 is the king of the garbage time fantasy football stats, so at least there’s that, right?
Giants +1 @ Panthers - I want to take the Panthers in this game. I know everyone is on the Giants and that’s never a good thing. I know the Panthers is the right side to take. BUT… I just keep repeating two simple words in my head.. Ron Rivera. Ron Rivera. Ron Rivera. Ron RIvera. Ron Rivera. The Panthers are 2-14 in games decided by 7 or less points under Rivera. He’s a complete joke. It’s a travesty that he still has a job as head coach. You just know the Giants are going to pull this one, even though they stink. Take them.
Texans -2.5 @ Ravens - I don’t think Ray Rice being out is really that big of a deal, because Bernard Pierce is really good. Unfortunately for Baltimore, the rest of the team isn’t. These Texans are overrated, but I still think they’ll pull out a close one.
Dolphins -2 vs. Falcons – The Falcons really aren’t that good. The high-powered offense has suffered with Roddy White being hurt and Tony Gonzalez still working himself back after basically taking off the whole offseason. I hate to say it, but the Dolphins might actually be good. If they pull this one out, they’ll be sitting pretty at 3-0 with a legit win under their belt here.
Jets -2 vs. Bills – The Jets continue to get no respect, and they’ll continue to cover lines. I touched on all of this in my Stock Watch on Thursday, but there’s no way Rex Ryan is going to lose this game. This is an easy one. Lay the points.
49ers -10.5 vs. Colts – This is an example of a buzzsaw game. This is just the wrong team, at the wrong time, at the wrong place for these Colts. The 49ers are coming off an embarrassing loss last week in Seattle and are going to take out their aggression in a big way. Throwing the 49ers into a teaser is also a darn fine idea.
Jaguars +19 @ Seattle – Any time you can get nearly three touchdowns in an NFL game, you have to take it. There’s a great chance Seattle may do just enough to win this game comfortably and not really run up the score. Think something like 23-7.
Steelers +2.5 vs. Bears – The Steelers offense is absolutely putrid, but this is a desperate, prideful bunch. It won’t be a season to remember for these guys, but look for them to pull out the win against the Bears who had their first two games come down to the wire. The Steelers are going to throw the kitchen sink at them this week, and that should get the job done.
Broncos -15 vs. Raiders – Peyton Manning in prime time is a sure-fire bet, no matter what the spread is. The Raiders are awful and this one should be over by halftime.
Best Bets - Jets -2, Steelers +2.5, Packers -2.5, Titans -2.5, Giants +1
Teaser of the Week – 3 Team / 10 Point: Giants +11, 49ers -0.5, Steelers +12.5
Last Week: 8-8, Best Bests: 2-3, Teaser 1-0
Season: 14-17-1 Total, Best Bets: 3-7, Teasers: 1-1