No Huddle – Just End The Season Edition

TJ Rosenthal goes No Huddle on the New York Jets counting the seconds until the season is over

24jets-pic-articleLarge
The Jets deserved this. This 27-17 loss to the Chargers was Woody Johnson, Rex Ryan and Mike Tannenbaum’s reward for having no plan at all on offense, acquiring Tim Tebow, and failing to improve the Jets skill positions during the offseason. This week’s No Huddle is brought to you by, the Jets offensive line.
 
11 Sacks
Greg McElroy was sacked 11 times. In one game. Keep in mind that he’s a scrambler too. Some of the sacks we will attribute to McElroy’s inexperience, but eleven? What an embarrassment for this organization. We can only imagine what offensive line coach DuGuglielmo will say when a microphone is shoved in front of him this time.
 
Mark Sanchez
The Sanchise was awful for much of this season. Still, you just know that deep down he has a nationwide grin on his face over this outcome. No protection. Few receivers to throw to. Yet this time, the reporters are in some other guys locker. Not his. Enjoy your night 6. You earned it by doing nothing again. This time, “nothing” meaning zero wrong. Sometimes observing is better for the sleeping pattern than stinking up the joint is.
 
Norv Turner
We bet that Rex Ryan and Norv Turner had a quick chat about 2013 during warmups. One where Rex said, “Okay, so this is your cell number, right? I’ll call or text you in a week or so. Happy Holidays.” So much for the days when Ryan would boast about how he would have taken Turner’s Chargers further. Ryan is beyond humbled at this point, and this marriage seems inevitable.
 
Tim Tebow and Jeremy Kerley
Jeremy Kerley was allowed to throw the ball? Yes. Think about that. He completed a 40 yard pass play while Tim Tebow, the 3.5 million dollar cardboard cut out sat and daydreamed about the Jaguars. We thought there was no room left in the clown car for this team. Little did we know about the cavernous trunk space in the Jet mobile.
 
Is Anybody On This Staff Safe?
Completely safe? Not in our eyes. Rex Ryan is the one most likely to stay. It is hard to accept however, his approval of Sparano, the ground and pound personnel, and Sanchez for 15 weeks. What we want to know how Rex plans on getting better as a talent evaluator for the offense from here. By sheer luck? By choosing Turner, a proven offensive guy? If the Johnson decides to continue with the Ryan regime, he better not be hoping and praying in this department any longer.

Initial Reaction – New York Jets Embracing The Awfulness

The New York Jets continued to bottom out today with a 27-17 loss to the San Diego Chargers

usp--san-diego-chargers-at-new-york-jets-4_3_r560

It was a sad day at MetLife Stadium. The New York Jets have fully regressed to 2007, when December home games were filled with bitter, disinterested fans watching a bad football team play out the string.

Shockingly, a second year 7th round quarterback wasn’t the answer to all the Jets problems. Greg McElroy looked overwhelmed in his first NFL start, turning the ball over twice, taking unnecessary sacks and showing the lack of arm strength that will prevent him from being this team’s answer at quarterback. The rest of the team, with the exception of a handful of players, were truly awful and looked like a team ready to head home for the off-season. There is not a coach on the Jets offensive staff who deserves to be employed in the NFL next season and Rex Ryan’s beloved defense was pushed around by one of the league’s worst offenses.

The offensive line embarrassed themselves. Shonn Greene can’t crack 40 yards rushing unless he gets 20 carries. Eric Smith is still Eric Smith. The linebackers are slow. Kyle Wilson remains his terrible self (at least we didn’t see any finger wags today).

What else can you say? It needs to be blown up from top to bottom. If you have been paying attention, you knew this already.

How about a few positives? Quinton Coples recorded a sack in his third straight game, finishing with 1.5 on the day and now has a team leading 5.5 on the season. Muhammad Wilkerson also added in a sack and now has 5 on the year. The two of them and Kenrick Ellis form the core of an excellent young defensive line. Braylon Edwards has looked strong since returning and the Jets are going to be able to bring him back on a low cost contract and get a productive player. Outside of that? I guess Robert Malone has put together a good season of punting the ball.

One game left and then the rebuilding can commence!

Turn On The Jets Week 16 NFL Picks

The TOJ Staff submits their week 16 NFL Picks

The Race for Steak continues. Note that last week’s record includes the most recent Thursday games –

CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Rob Celletti (123-95-6)

2. Chris Gross (113-105-6)

3. Mike Donnelly (112-108-4)

4. Chris Celletti (111-108-5)

5. Joe Caporoso (96-122-6)

Joe Caporoso

Last Week (9-6)

  • Atlanta (-3.5) vs. Detroit
  • Tennessee (+12.5) vs. Green Bay
  • Oakland (+8.5) vs. Carolina
  • Buffalo (+4.5) vs. Miami
  • Pittsburgh (-3) vs. Cincy
  • New England (-14.5) vs. Jacksonville
  • Indianapolis (-7) vs. Kansas City
  • Dallas (-3) vs. New Orleans
  • Washington (-6.5) vs. Philadelphia
  • Tampa Bay (-3) vs. St. Louis
  • Giants (-2.5) vs. Baltimore
  • Minnesota (+7.5) vs. Houston
  • Denver (-13) vs. Cleveland
  • Chicago (-5.5) vs. Arizona
  • Seattle (PK) vs. San Francisco
  • Jets (-2.5) vs. San Diego

Mike Donnelly

Last Week (9-6)

  • Falcons -3.5
  • Titans +12
  • Raiders +8.5
  • Bills +4.5
  • Steelers -3
  • Jaguars +14.5
  • Chiefs +7
  • Cowboys -3
  • Eagles +6.5
  • Bucs -3
  • Jets -2.5
  • Texans -8
  • Giants -2.5
  • Broncos -12.5
  • Bears -5.5
  • Seahawks PK

Rob Celletti

Last Week (10-5)

  • Falcons (-3.5) over Lions
  • Titans (+12.5) over Packers
  • Raiders (+8.5) over Panthers
  • Dolphins (-4.5) over Bills
  • Steelers (-3) over Bengals
  • Patriots (-14.5) over Jaguars
  • Chiefs (+7) over Colts
  • Cowboys (-3) over Saints
  • Eagles (+6) over Redskins
  • Rams (+3) over Buccaneers
  • Giants (-2.5) over Ravens
  • Texans (-7.5) over Vikings
  • Browns (+13) over Broncos
  • Bears (-5.5) over Cardinals
  • 49ers (PK) over Seahawks
  • Chargers (+2.5) over Jets

Chris Celletti

Last Week (5-10)

  • Falcons
  • Packers
  • Raiders
  • Dolphins
  • Steelers
  • Patriots
  • Colts
  • Redskins
  • Rams
  • Giants
  • Texans
  • Browns
  • Bears
  • 49ers
  • Jets

Chris Gross

Last Week (7-8)

  • Falcons (-3.5)
  • Packers (-12)
  • Raiders (+8.5)
  • Dolphins (-4.5)
  • Bengals (+3)
  • Patriots (-14.5)
  • Chiefs (+7)
  • Saints (+3)
  • Eagles (+6.5)
  • Bucs (-3)
  • Ravens (+2.5)
  • Vikings (+8)
  • Denver (-12.5)
  • Bears (-5.5)
  • 49ers (pk)
  • Jets (-2.5)

Turn On The Jets Week 16 Best Bets: Best Of 2012

Chris Celletti with his weekly NFL Best Bets and a collection of “Best Of” Lists for 2012

greene-fumble

Week 15 Record: 0-3

Season Record: 14-29-2

Unfortunately, there are TWO more weeks of the regular season in the NFL.  God why can’t this just end sooner?

I will be doing a Best Bets piece for Week 17 (I’m sure you’re all in tatters with excitement), but Week 17 falls on Dec. 30 this year. I plan on spending the week between Christmas and New Years bathing in alcohol and greasy food, so I’ll just alert you now; I’m probably going to mail in my Week 17 column like Mike Francesa in August.

So because I’m sure you haven’t seen enough year-end “Best Of” or “Top (insert whatever here) of the Year” lists, here come a bunch more. You’re welcome, everybody. Here are my Top 5 in a whole bunch of important things from 2012:

Movies of the Year

1. Zero Dark Thirty – I saw this last night and the first thing that came to mind when I walked out of the theater was “I’ve just seen the best movie of the year, if not the last five years.” Super intense, brilliantly paced, well-acted all around. It’s impossible to make a movie about this subject do a better job than Kathryn Bigelow did. The scene of the actual raid of the Bin Laden compound was action film-making at its finest. Oh yeah and all those torture scenes that the government are telling you are “factually inaccurate”? Yeah, please, we totally did all that.

2. Silver Linings Playbook – If everything about this movie was the same except the Solitano family was from New York or New Jersey and they were massive Jets fans instead of Eagles fans, there’s a chance this would be my favorite movie of all time.

3. The Master – Daniel Day-Lewis is going to get the Oscar for Best Actor for Lincoln, but Joaquin Phoenix is just as deserving if not more.

4. Argo – As much as it may pain me to say this, Ben Affleck made a great movie.

5. Moonrise Kingdom – Wes Anderson quirkiness at it’s best. Children acting like adults, adults acting like children. Hilarious, outrageous and heartwarming at the same time.

Honorable Mention: Skyfall, The Dark Knight Rises, ParaNorman (no, really), Lincoln – and I fully expect Django Unchained to be great.

Mike D’Antoni Quotes of the Year (No explanation required)

1. “Uhhhhhhhhh”

2. ” Well, uhhhhhh”

3. “Now you’re startin’ to piss me off.”

4. “Uhhhhhh…Let’s go! Comeonnow! Let’s go!”

5.”Uhhhhhhhhhh”

Honorable Mention: “Well…uhhhhhh, you know…uhhhhhh”

Albums of the Year

1. Japandroids – Celebration RockWhen your quarterback could learn a thing or two about attitude from the lyrics of a Canadian alternative outfit… “When they love you, and they will, tell ’em all they’ll love in my shadow / And if they try to slow you down, tell ’em all to go to Hell”…you know your football team sucks.

2. Bruce Springsteen – Wrecking Ball –An 11-track anthem for the 99%.

3. Frank Ocean – channel ORANGE –If I was doing a Top Songs of the Year list (I’m not), “Pyramids” would be vying for the top spot. That song is mind-blowing.

4. Fang Island – Major – I didn’t know it was possible for an indie band to make anthems that are loud, fast AND fun. Major proved to me that you can.

5. Green Day – Uno! –Pop this in and you may think it’s 1994 all over again. Which would be great if you’re a Rangers or Knicks fan, and not so brilliant if you’re a Jets fan.

Honorable Mention – Rex Ryan f/Mike Pettine – “Sounds of a Defense”. My favorite tracks are “BOOOOOM” “46 Bear 4 Life” and “F&$!@% Sanchez”

Athletes of the Year

1. LeBron James – Thanks to this Grantland article, I was reminded that in Game 4 against the Indiana Pacers with his team down 2-1 in the series, LeBron went for 40 points, 18 rebounds and 9 assists. Holy hell.

2. Lionel Messi – He scored more goals in a calendar year than anyone in history. I’d say that’s fairly impressive.

3. Adrian Peterson – Putting together a year this great, in a league that’s going away from the run, after his knee was decimated late in 2011?

4. Rory McIlroy – Won the PGA Championship by a record 8 strokes, helped the European team to an all-time comeback at the Ryder Cup, and finished atop the PGA Tour’s Money List.

5. Henrik Lundqvist – A goaltender who played so ridiculously good over the course of an entire season. John Tortorella deserves a ton of credit for the Rangers finishing first in the East and making a deep playoff run, but the Rangers are nowhere near that good with standard goaltending. He deserved to win a Stanley Cup in 2012.

Honorable Mention – Usain Bolt, Michael Phelps, Nonito Donaire, R.A. Dickey, Jeremy Lin, Shonn Greene

“Same Old Jets” Plays of the Year:

1. Buttfumble – Sanchez’s Bubby Brister moment.

2. Season-Ending Snap Cluster%&!# – Blame it on Nick Mangold, blame it on Sanchez, take your pick. Picture perfect way for the meaningful part of Gang Green’s season to come to a close.

3. Joe McKnight’s Kickoff Fumble vs. New England – Couldn’t help but start laughing.

4. Sanchez’s OT Fumble in New England – The beginning of the end.

5. Tim Tebow signing a contract – Wait, no, THIS was the beginning of the end. While we’re at it…

Tim Tebow Plays of the Year:

1. 3-yard plunge

2. 2-yard plunge

3. Loss of 6

4. Incomplete Pass

5. 4-yard swing out to Jeremy Kerley

WHAT A FOOTBALL PLAYER!!!

Games/Events of the Year:

1. Pacquiao vs. Marquez IV – If you read this column (first off, thanks!) you know where I stand on this.

2. Manchester City’s Title-Winning Comeback – Watch this clip. If you say you’ve ever heard an American sports crowd go anything close to as insane as this, you’re lying through your teeth. Goalkeeper Joe Hart running around by himself in celebration is an incredible image. Martin Tyler’s call is probably the best call in live sports broadcast history. I’m not exaggerating.

3. Saints at 49ers, Divisional Playoffs  – I wish every football game was played like this. Rex Ryan doesn’t.

4. Winter Classic – Rangers vs. Flyers – The Rangers go down only to come back to take a lead in the third period. In the final minute, Henrik Lundqvist stones Danny Briere on a penalty shot with a slim one-goal lead. All in the fresh, open air.

5. Linsanity vs. the Lakers – Jeremy Lin outdid Kobe Bryant, dropping 37 points on the Lakers at MSG. Linsanity’s fever pitch.

Honorable Mention – Raul Ibanez pinch hits for A-Rod, hits game-tying and game-winning HRs, The Ryder Cup’s final day, Olympics Women’s Soccer Gold Medal game – U.S vs. Canada, No. 15 Lehigh beats No. 2 Duke

Oral Histories of the Year:

No yeah screw that, oral histories suck.

Jets Websites of the Year:

1. TurnOnTheJets.com – Yeah that about rounds out the list.

And now…the vaunted picks:

Redskins -6 at Eagles – Skins need it, Eagles are dead.

Giants -2.5 at Ravens – Ravens defense will have trouble with Eli, Cruz, Bennett etc.

49ers PK at Seahawks – Will be a defensive battle, but the Niners have the better big play capability.

Bonus Non-Football Bet of the Week (Season Record: 6-8-1) – Knicks -6 vs. Bulls AND the over (187)

Happy Holidays y’all!

New York Jets: Looking at the Roster Beyond 2012

Chris Gross with an in-depth look at the New York Jets roster options and why any current report about 2013 personnel decisions is BS

TANNYwood

Following Rex Ryan’s decision to replace the embattled Mark Sanchez with third string quarterback Greg McElroy this past Tuesday, multiple reports have surfaced citing unnamed sources within the organization claiming that the powers that be in Florham Park will decide to part ways with both Sanchez, and second string quarterback Tim Tebow, following the conclusion of the 2012 season. However, much like the Mayan Calendar, the script for the New York Jets has not yet been written beyond 2012. While the said powers that be may be in favor of moving both Sanchez and Tebow, there is a very good chance that they are no longer the powers that be following the week 17 season finale in Buffalo. Regardless of what sources are claiming, or what reports are emerging, there is simply no way that a front office and coaching staff, seemingly walking on eggshells trying desperately to save their jobs within these final two weeks, have had the time to sit down and discuss monumental decisions like the ones mentioned above.

Following New York’s disastrous, playoff ending loss to Tennessee on Monday night, Rex Ryan supposedly made the decision to bench Sanchez as his team shamefully strolled into the locker room. On Tuesday afternoon, Ryan announced his decision to the media, and by Wednesday night, the Jets had apparently decided to not only move on from both Sanchez and Tebow, but to pursue Michael Vick in free agency this offseason. So, let’s think about this, chronologically for a minute.

Monday 12/17/2012, roughly 11:00 PM EST: Ryan notifies Sanchez he will not be the starting quarterback for the Jets week 16 matchup against San Diego.

Tuesday 12/18/2012, 3:52 PM EST: The New York Jets official twitter account announces that Greg McElroy will be the starting quarterback for the Jets final home game of 2012 season.

Jet Tweet

Wednesday 12/19/2012, 9:44 PM EST: Manish Mehta of the New York Daily News reports via Twitter that the New York Jets will try to trade Mark Sanchez following the conclusion of the season.

Manish

Wednesday 12/19/2012, 9:58 PM EST: Mehta tweets the link to the full story on the Jets apparent decision to move Sanchez after the season. Included in that story is another unnamed source confirming that the Jets do have interest in soon to be free agent Michael Vick, citing Rex Ryan’s “love” for Vick as the “X-Factor” in the veteran signal caller coming to New York this offseason.

Thursday 12/20/2012, 12:02 PM EST: The Daily News reports the Jets will look to trade or release Tim Tebow following the conclusion of the season.

So, according to Mehta and other various reports, in just over a day after naming McElroy the starting quarterback for this week, the Jets also decided that they will not only be parting ways with a former top 5 draft pick, whom they traded up to obtain, but have already had discussions about bringing in another high profile veteran to replace him.

Hmm. 24 hours is surely a long time, particularly in the NFL where sleep is relatively scarce during the season. However, for a front office and coaching staff desperately scrambling to find a way to somehow save their jobs, after another miserable performance that ultimately ended their season, it does not seem logical that they’d be using what little time they have to muster up a .500 record by discussing trading two of their highest profile players, and acquiring another, within 48 hours, on a 6 day week.

We also aren’t just talking about making mindless releases, trades, and additions to the roster. We are talking about a concluded plan on how to deal with a player who was once viewed as the face of the franchise, is owed over $8 million in guarantees next season, counts for $17 million against the salary cap if released, and is someone that both the head coach and general manager have pledged their undying loyalty to. We are also talking about moving one of the most polarizing figures in all of professional sports. Then, we are talking about acquiring one of the most controversial, yet dynamic players the NFL has ever seen. Do you honestly think all of this was decided between 11 PM on Monday night and Thursday at noon?

Well, with the Jets, anything is certainly possible. Woody Johnson has become known as one of the greatest knee-jerk reactors in the entire community of professional sports ownership. Could Johnson have muttered some things like this out of extreme frustration, causing someone to overhear him and leak his statements to the News? Sure. But these reports are suggesting that these are organizational decisions, meaning internal discussions between the front office, ownership, and even the coaching staff. As Rex Ryan stated earlier in the week, he is involved in every decision that is made with this team. Whether or not that is true, certainly remains to be seen, but the reality of the fact is that Woody Johnson does not posses nearly the amount of football knowledge that it would take to devise a plan like this in under three days, without consulting with the people he pays to run his team. You can rest assured Ryan did not partake in any such discussion this week, considering he is likely coaching to save his job in these final two games. Do you honestly think he’s sitting in a meeting room with Mike Tannenbaum mapping out their future, when the future of both men is insanely unclear?

What I am alluding to here is obvious. However, for the sake of argument, let’s say that Tannenbaum has met with his staff and these discussions were, in fact, had, and these decisions were, in fact, made. Let’s assume all of this speculation is one hundred percent true. Now let’s assume that the Jets lose their final two games, finish 6-10 and everyone, including Rex Ryan and Tannenbaum, are relieved of their duties. Now all of a sudden the roster is frozen. No moves will be made until a new regime – GM, front office, and coaching staff – is installed.

Now, we suddenly have a General Manager and head coach who come in and take a long look at the roster on day one, considering the play of each person on the team, as well as contract terms and conditions. This imaginary GM looks down at his roster, studying it closely. He sees the name Mark Sanchez. He then looks to his salary figures, noticing the guaranteed money, and potential cap trouble if Sanchez is outright released. This GM now has a massive decision to make. Does he give Sanchez one more chance to compete to be the starting quarterback for the Jets, or does he begin his reign as General Manager by releasing Sanchez and crippling himself with a $17 million cap hit?

Then that same General Manager continues to look over the roster and sees the name Tim Tebow. He consults with his new coach about the player. For the sake of argument, let’s say that coach is Jon Gruden, a red hot name on the list of potential NFL head coach replacements for 2013. Gruden then begins to gush to his new GM about how he has spent time at Oregon with Chip Kelly learning the spread offense, and how he thinks he can make it work at the professional level. He then tells his general manager that the only person on the current roster to make that system effective, is Tim Tebow. Now, all of a sudden Tebow goes from being thrown out of town, to the foundation of this team’s rebuilding process.

Are either of these situations going to happen? No one knows at this particular point in time, but that’s just the point. If the regime that is in place now is replaced, all supposed roster decisions that you have heard in the last few days are suddenly meaningless. While it is still unlikely that the current regime has made these decisions already, it is even more unlikely that the majority of the decision makers within the front office will be with the organization next year, rendering any apparent decisions for 2013 completely obsolete. Basically, we know very little about what this team will look like in 2013.

So what do we know? Well, the Jets have several key players under contract that will surely be on the team next season. They also have very inexpensive role players that will likely stick around as well. Then, there are a surplus of players who have underperformed and will be released to create cap relief, as well as players whose contracts will expire after this season, many of whom will not be brought back.

Then comes the interesting portion of the roster. Outside of Sanchez and Tebow, there are several players whose respective fates remain up in the air depending on what happens with the powers that be of the New York Jets. Below is a chart of what you can expect to become of every player currently under contract with the Jets, including a list of those players whose fortunes have yet to be decided, regardless of what you may hear or read, for the reasons aforementioned.

Jets going staying

Let’s start with who will remain on the team beyond 2012. In the secondary, Antonio Allen and Josh Bush are two rookies who have each contributed in relatively small roles this season. Allen has impressed the coaching staff enough to earn rare public praise from Special Teams Coordinator Mike Westhoff, while Bush has chipped in sporadically on defense and special teams throughout the year. Both Allen and Bush are very young, inexpensive players, who will see their roles grow in the coming years. Kyle Wilson is Kyle Wilson, but will make just over $2 million next season. While he hasn’t performed to the level of where he was drafted yet, there is no reason for him to be moved. Ellis Lankster certainly isn’t Deion Sanders, but at $630,000, he has played beyond his pay grade this season.

At linebacker, DeMario Davis was drafted to replace Bart Scott, a role he will likely step into next year, barring any unforeseen additions to the position this offseason. Garrett McIntyre shouldn’t be asked to start, but has played well in his time as a reserve this season, and will likely be the only returning outside linebacker on the roster. Nick Bellore is a solid special teams player who makes just over a half a million dollars per year. These players will all be Jets in 2013.

Along the defensive line, Wilkerson, Coples, and Ellis are primed to become one of the most dominant units in the league, with youngster Damon Harrison providing a much cheaper alternative to spell Ellis at NT than anyone else currently on the roster.

The offensive line has cornerstones in Ferguson and Mangold, while Austin Howard has certainly played well enough to come into camp as the starting right tackle next season. Vlad Ducasse hasn’t been nearly as horrible as he has looked in the past, and at under a million dollars in salary next season, he provides inexpensive experience on the interior of the offensive line.

Jeremy Kerley has played tremendously all season, and he should be a big part of this team’s plans moving forward. Although Stephen Hill had his troubles this season, he is still an extremely bright prospect with tremendous upside. Considering this, and the fact that the organization used a 2nd round pick to obtain him, expect him around for the long run.

At running back, Bilal Powell and Joe McKnight remain under contract at low costs. Powell has played well this season, and should be the team’s 1B back next year, with McKnight playing his usual role on special teams, while still trying to find some type of niche in the offense.

The specialists Folk, Malone, and Purdum have all performed well this season, and there is no reason to fix what isn’t broken.

To the far right of the chart lies the list of names that you can all but certainly rule out for a return to Gang Green in 2013. Eric Smith has been nothing more than a role player this season, a role that will likely be filled by Antonio Allen next season. The longest tenured Jet among the safeties becomes the first salary cap casualty, allowing New York to save $3 million upon his release.

Calvin Pace and Bart Scott have been solid players for this team in the past, but neither have performed to their pay grade over the past two seasons. Both would have been cut following 2011 if not for having guaranteed money due to them in 2012. This year, New York can save about $15 million in cap space with a release of both players. Their days with the Jets are all but finished. Bryan Thomas played his heart out this season after being cut and resigned before the year, but he is on a one year contract and will likely retire.

Sione Pouha has been fantastic for this organization, but unfortunately back injuries have taken their toll and diminished his play. With the emergence of Ellis, the Jets can save about $1.5 million i cap space by releasing Pouha.

At running back, Shonn Greene was a monumental part of the two AFC Championship game runs, but he has proved he is not a lead back at the NFL level. Greene is still a very capable 1B option, but the Jets need a true 1A at the position. With how Powell has played this season, the Jets will be wise to insert him into the 1B role, while spending the money saved by allowing Greene to leave to get a true lead back via free agency. Lex Hilliard was average at times, and awful at other times. The team needs a real solution at fullback, rather than an emergency signing to cover for the botched John Conner pick.

At wide receiver, Gates, Gilyard and Schilens were all brought here out of panic in an effort to assemble a last minute receiving corps for Mark Sanchez, but all are free agents at the end of the year, and not one of them has earned the chance to receive a new contract. Dedrick Epps, to my surprise, is still on the injured reserve, but there’s no reason for him to be back next season in what will likely be an entirely revamped group of tight ends. Josh Baker showed promise early in his career, but injuries and an overall lack of production have worn out his time in New York.

Now we get to the interesting part. In the middle of the chart above is a list of players whose fates with the Jets will ultimately be decided by a number of factors, none of which are apparent at the present moment. The most eye popping names are Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromartie. Revis has been the best player on this team for 3 years, but his future hinges on the GM situation. If Tannenbaum remains in charge, expect Revis to be gone. Tannenbaum and Revis’s agents have a poor relationship, have failed to come to a long term agreement in the past, and likely have little interest in working with each other on a new deal. If Tannenbaum is the GM of the Jets, look for him to try to move his All-Pro CB to alleviate some of the cap trouble that he created, while obtaining some much needed draft picks in return.

Cromartie’s situation really depends on what happens with Revis. If Tannenbaum is fired, there is a good chance that the new General Manager comes in and makes signing Revis to a long term deal his first priority. If that becomes the case, look for that GM to move Cromartie, who is coming off of a career year with trade value likely higher than it will ever be. The Jets are a team in dire need of cap relief, and when you don’t have the luxury of being flexible with your salary cap, it is not feasible to have two highly paid cornerbacks on your roster.

Yeremiah Bell stated that he would like to be back with the Jets, but this again depends on the GM. A new hire may want youth at the position. Personally, I see Bell coming back either way on a one year, inexpensive contract, but his situation can certainly go one way or the other. LaRon Landry has played very well this season, but will look to cash in and will likely command more money than the Jets can give him. A return is not completely out of the question, but as of now it looks highly unlikely.

Aaron Berry, Donnie Fletcher, Darrin Walls, and Isaiah Trufant are all inexpensive, but none have contributed much of anything due to injury or other circumstances.

Josh Mauga is a restricted free agent, and after missing a year to injury, his situation will likely depend on how well the regime in place feels he can come back. Ricky Sapp has been on and off the practice squad all season, while struggling through injuries, but could stick around through mini-camps and training camp due to the overhaul of the position.

Mike DeVito is a fundamental piece to the defensive line, but his situation remains as unclear as any. Tannenbaum has a history of letting players like DeVito leave rather than paying them their market value, and having drafted Quinton Coples last year, you have to wonder how much any GM will be willing to pay for DeVito, who will likely end up as a reserve/situational player if he remains with the team next season.

On the offensive line, it is mind boggling that Caleb Schlauderaff still has a spot on this team. Any competent GM will likely release him simply to regain his roster spot, but for some reason, Mike Tannenbaum is infatuated with him, convinced he will become the next Victor Cruz. So, if Tannenbaum sticks around, expect more Schlauderaff in 2013. Matt Slauson has played relatively well this season but his status also depends on the front office. Slauson will be an unrestricted free agent this year, and will likely be seeking a decent contract. If the Jets are confident with Ducasse and a rookie or cheaper free agent occupying the guard spots, they will let Slauson walk. If they see him as valuable, the price will need to be right.

espnnewyork_a_sanchez_mb_600Wide Receiver and Tight End are also very intriguing. Santonio Holmes, like Mark Sanchez, is due a surplus of guaranteed money next year, however unlike Sanchez, he may hold some type of trade value. It is difficult to gauge exactly what that value would be considering he has missed the majority of the season due to injury and has been known to be a headache in the locker room. If the Jets wish to move Holmes, they will likely have to pay part of his salary as well. This is very unlikely, but if a new GM with a no-nonsense attitude comes in, he could make a clean break with Holmes before developing any type of relationship with him.

Braylon Edwards will probably be back on a one year, inexpensive deal, but again, this depends on what happens with the front office and coaching staff. A new GM with no history with Edwards may be indifferent toward signing him. Conversely, if Rex Ryan is fired, and Mark Sanchez is released or traded, Edwards may look to go to a more stable quarterback situation (or wherever Sanchez ends up).

Jordan White has potential to be a solid contributor, but he was a seventh round pick, and if a new GM is brought in, he certainly isn’t guaranteed anything. Royce Adams will not see a down on the active roster next year, but could hang around on the practice squad for another season.

Dustin Keller is likely going to leave via free agency, however if a new offensive coordinator, someone like Norv Turner, is brought in, perhaps the Jets and Keller regain interest in one another with the implementation of a pass heavy offense, with a relatively large role for the tight end. Jeff Cumberland and Konrad Reuland have been average at best, but one of them could hang around as the third tight end, assuming two are added either by draft or free agency, or one is added and Keller is retained. Aussie Hayden Smith should be back for the offseason, and will likely get another crack at making the active roster in training camp.

The quarterbacks, as described above, are both likely to be gone under the current regime. However, as we have explained, a new General Manager and coach could come in and have a different vision for either of these two, whether it be potential cap ramifications or judgment of their actual ability. While all signs surely point to both not being here next season, there are far too many factors that will play into that decision, making their futures unrealistic to predict at this point in time. Tebow has apparently expressed displeasure with the organization for choosing to start Greg McElroy over him, but what if Tebow gets a chance to start in week 17 for some reason? Or what if a coach comes in with a vision to build around him? The same goes for Sanchez. While it is certainly fair to speculate on their futures based on how things have played out so far, it is still too early to predict what will happen after the season.

By now, you’re probably asking yourself how the Jets will address all of the positions that will be vacated next season. Be sure to check back later in the week for an exploration of the best possible Free Agent options for the Jets by position, as well as an introductory draft piece that will kick start our draft coverage here at Turn On The Jets. 

**All New York Jets salary cap information courtesy of www.nyjetscap.com**

New York Jets – What Do We Need To See In Final Two Games?

What should New York Jets fans hope to see in the team’s final two games?

hi-res-153998026_display_image

The New York Jets final two regular season games basically break down to being nothing more than glorified pre-season games (without any kind of glory I suppose). What should a Jets fan root for these upcoming weeks against the mighty San Diego Chargers and the Buffalo “Fredo” Bills?

Greg McElroy – You can’t say at this point it won’t be interesting or mildly entertaining to watch somebody besides Mark Sanchez pump fake and throw interceptions or Tim Tebow scramble around and do nothing. Hopefully, the coaching staff allows McElroy to operate a normal NFL offense, not the JV-high school offense the team normally runs. We aren’t going to learn anything about his potential strengths and limitations from having him go 10/14 for 86 yards next week because all he was allowed to throw was slants and boots. Ideally, McElroy plays confident, turnover free football and shows enough to be considered a reliable back-up next season or maybe even a competitor along with a veteran for the starting job.

Young D – No more 35% of the snaps for Quinton Coples who has a sack in each of the last two games and is starting to really come along in his rookie season. Get him out there for 50-60 snaps and let him get accustomed to the extended work. The same goes for Kenrick Ellis who will be your starting nose tackle next year when Sione Pouha is released. Demario Davis should be playing the bulk of the reps at inside linebacker alongside David Harris and Antonio Allen should continue to see increased reps at outside linebacker and as a pass rusher on third downs.

Wide Receiver Shuffle – Haven’t we seen enough Chaz Schilens and Clyde Gates at this point? You make Braylon Edwards your starting split end, to see how he handles major reps. You put Jeremey Kerley as your starting flanker since he has been your best receiver this season and could be in this spot next year if Santonio Holmes is released. You put rookie 7th round pick Jordan White in the slot, since he hasn’t been given a chance yet. They get all the reps. No Schilens. No Gates. Certainly no Mardy Gilyard.

Just Give Him A Chance – Give Joe McKnight 10-15 carries and let’s see if that 6.1 yards per carry can come anywhere near to holding up. It certainly won’t end up lower than Shonn Greene’s 3.9 yards per carry. Let McKnight and Bilal Powell who will both be on the team next year, while Greene probably won’t, handle the workload in the backfield.

Throwback Thursday: Jets at Chargers, September 22, 2008

Throwback Thursday! Chris Celletti takes a look back at Jets vs. Chargers in 2008, when they were still getting humiliated in primetime!

gal-jets-chargers-4-jpg

Throwback Thursday is a feature at Turn On The Jets, where we take a stroll down Jets Memory Lane and reminisce about great Jets games in the past against their upcoming opponent. (Word to not take seriously in that last sentence: “great”)

So yeah, the Jets’ quarterback situation is a mess. Where we’re at right now, with Greg McElroy starting in Week 15, Mark Sanchez likely never taking a meaningful snap for this team again and Tim Tebow standing on the sideline with his fists on his hips while a nation wonders how a professional sports team could be so mean and unfair to a professional athlete…well, the disaster didn’t start this season. It didn’t start last season. When something is this much of a mess, it’s origins can be traced far back. We can probably go even further back than we will today, but let’s head on back to 2008.

The Jets just came off a 4-12 season with an iffy quarterback situation going forward (When has that EVER happened to the Jets?!) Chad Pennington was all sorts injured, and Kellen Clemens didn’t show a ton in his second season. But likely, the Jets were going to head into the 2008 season, coach Eric Mangini’s third, with Pennington and Clemens battling it out in training camp for the job. That is, until owner Woody Johnson said “The Giants just won the Super Bowl, we need to make a splash”. Enter the spokesman for Wrangler Jeans, the Pride of Gulfport, Mississippi, Brett Lorenzo Favre.

/Gives up on life when realizing Brett Favre’s middle name is Lorenzo

So the Jets crapped on Pennington right before training camp (funny how there weren’t people all up in arms about the Jets’ treatment of one of their best QBs in team history, yet, they somehow owe the country an explanation for why Tim Tebow hasn’t been given a shot), and handed the keys to Favre. The early returns were okay, the Jets won their opener in Miami before falling at home to the Matt Cassel-led Patriots. In Week 3, the Jets visited the San Diego Chargers.

At the time…

Billboard No. 1 Song in the U.S. – “Whatever You Like” by T.I. This song had three different multi-week stints atop the charts, which is an incredible accomplishment for a song built around a hook that sounds like a slogan for a fast foot chain.

No. 1 Movie in the U.S. – “Lakeview Terrace” starring Samuel L. Jackson. The IMDB description reads: “An LAPD officer will stop at nothing to force out the interracial couple who just moved in next door.” Well, then.

Jets’ Record Before: 1-1

Chargers’ Record before: 1-1

The Jets couldn’t have asked for a better start, as David Barrett intercepted Philip Rivers on the Chargers’ third play from scrimmage and returned it 25 yards for a touchdown to put the Jets up 7-0. San Diego came right back and got three points back, and Thomas Jones coughed the ball up on the ensuing possession to give the Chargers good field position. A few plays later, Rivers hit mike Tolbert from a yard out, 10-7 Chargers. And then Brett Favre went and reminded Jets fans why they should temper their excitement just a tiny bit.

On the first play of the second quarter, with the Jets at midfield, Favre tossed one out towards the sideline that was caught and ran in for a touchdown by Antonio Cromartie. In September of 2008, Antonio Cromartie played for the San Diego Chargers. 17-7. The rout probably would have been on if not for Leon Washington, who returned the kickoff to the Chargers’ six yard line. Favre found Laveranues Coles and the Jets had life down just 17-14 despite not taking very much care of the ball.

Sensing the wild nature of the game and rightly taking advantage of it, the Chargers went for a surprise onside kick and recovered it. Five plays later, Chris Chambers caught a 27-yard score. But fear not Jets fans! You’re never out of a game when Favre is your quarterback! Except for those NOT RARE times when he throws the ball up for grabs and it’s picked off, which is what happened on the Jets’ next possession. San Diego took a 31-14 lead into the halftime break on Antonio Gates’ 6-yard TD catch with under three minutes left.

If the Jets had any chance they needed a stop right out of the gate in the second half, but that’s not what they got. The Chargers went 79 yards in seven plays capped off by a short touchdown run by future Jet LaDainian Tomlinson to make it 38-14. That was about it for the meaningful action, although Favre kept throwing and throwing and throwing. He finished with a classic Brett Favre statline: 30-of-42 for 271 yards with 3 TDs and 2 INTs. After all was told, it ended 48-29 Chargers.

I’ll say this for the one-year Favre Jets. At the very least, they were exciting. If you’re going to lose games, I’d rather lose them like the way the Jets lost this game. At least they were putting up some points early and things were actually, you know, happening on offense. Unlike this year’s Jets, who make you wonder if you weren’t paying attention and the NFL decided to all of a sudden play games on a field half the size.

Of course, what happened during the 2008 season and beyond was classic Jets. They were a Super Bowl favorite at 8-3 only to collapse and finish 9-7 while Pennington led the Dolphins to the Division title. After the season, Favre announced his retirement only to un-retire again and have an MVP-like season for the Minnesota Vikings. So, Pennington leaves the Jets and succeeds, Favre leaves the Jets and succeeds, so what do the Jets do? Trade up for Mark Sanchez, of course.

And when we look back on the Mark Sanchez Era, there is no doubt that the 2009 and 2010 seasons will be the one silver lining. A lot of people believe those Jets teams won in spite Sanchez, but they didn’t win in spite of Favre in 2008. Instead of building on the early success of Sanchez, the Jets bungled the operation completely, and on top of that Sanchez played like trash for two years, playing himself out of a career.

So as the Jets embark on another quarterback journey this Sunday as McElroy makes his first career start, I can only wait with bated breath to see how the Jets can screw up another quarterback. And if they don’t screw McElroy up in this short remainder of the season, based on past history one can only think it’s only time until they do. Or, for that matter, ruin whoever else ends up taking snaps next season.

Turn On The Jets Stock Watch: The 2013 Defense

Mike Donnelly’s weekly Stock Watch is buying and selling members of the New York Jets defense

rexpettine

In case you missed Part 1: The 2013 Offense, the link is right here. Today it’s all about the 2013 defense.

DEFENSIVE LINE

BUY: Mo Wilkerson, Quinton Coples, Kenrick Ellis – These three guys are going to be the foundation of the defensive line hopefully for many years to come. Wilkerson has established himself as one of the elite interior defensive linemen in the entire league, and we can’t say enough good things about the job he’s done this year.

Quinton Coples has been brought along slowly by this coaching staff, and while it’s frustrating to not see him out there as much as we’d like, it’s important to remember he’s just a rookie and he’s playing in a very complex defensive scheme. I expect a big time season in 2013 from him. As for Ellis, a knee injury derailed parts of his 2012 season, but he flashed some serious talent when on the field, and he is likely to be our starting nose tackle next year. These three are the only linemen on the team that we can say will be back for sure next season.

SELL: Sione Po’uha – He’s a fan favorite and by all accounts a great teammate, but 350 pound men that develop back problems usually don’t get better as they get older. With his somewhat high price tag for 2013, he has cap casualty written all over him.

BUY: Sione Po’uha being brought back on a reduced contract – There is no question Sione is getting released, but if he’s willing to take a 1-year deal at a reduced rate to come back, I could see the Jets doing that so that they don’t have to just throw Ellis into the fire full-time. I’m not so sure Damon Harrison will be ready to take on a meaningful role, so this could definitely happen.

SELL: Mike DeVito – DeVito has been one of my favorite players for quite a while now, but he’s a free agent and Quinton Coples was clearly drafted to take his spot on the line. I’m sure the Jets would love to have him back, but they just won’t be able to afford the veteran run-stuffer. Look for a cheap veteran to be brought in to spell the starters, someone in the Jay Richardson or Marcus Dixon mold from this past training camp.

LINEBACKERS

BUY: David Harris and Demario Davis – They are the only two linebackers you can say for sure will be back with the Jets in 2013. While Harris’s play has slipped this season, he’s still the best linebacker we have and his guaranteed salary means it will be difficult to find a trade partner, while releasing him would make no sense. As for Davis, he’s the future at linebacker in the green and white. He’s got rare athleticism and he’s already stepped up as one of the vocal leaders on the team. He’s one of the few players on this team that’s worth getting excited over heading into the future. Plus, he has a really hilarious signature:

2012-06-14_21-02-32_984

SELL: Bart Scott and Calvin Pace – There was a time these two were the rocks of the defense. Now, not so much. I’ve crapped on Calvin Pace a lot in this space throughout the season, so there’s no need to say much more about his play. Cutting him will save an awful lot of money on the 2013 cap, and that’s the first time something involving Calvin Pace has put a smile on my face in over two years.

Bart Scott is another sure cap casualty, and while many dislike him and his big mouth, I’m going to miss having him around. He’s something of an antiquated player in this new passing-happy NFL, but few linebackers are able to fill a gap and blow up a run play like Bart. When I think of Bart Scott, I’m not going to think of the guy pathetically chasing after Shane Vereen on Thanksgiving night, but rather the “Madbacker” who single-handily gave this defense a swagger and contributed a great deal to the 2009-10 teams.

BUY: Josh Mauga and Garrett McIntyre – The team needs solid backups who won’t cost much. These two guys have actually played well, especially McIntyre of late. He’s been our best outside linebacker the past few weeks, which is impressive until you remember who our other linebackers are. Still, he’s played well. Mauga was also a pretty solid player for us before he got injured. Look for him to come back next year and have a solid role with the team.

SELL: Bryan Thomas – The longest tenured Jet gave it everything he had this season and played surprisingly well as old-age and injuries started to take their toll on him. It’s sad to see a proud vet like Thomas end his career like that, but it’s over for B.T.

BUY: Signing 1 OLB, Draft 1 OLB  – It’s imperative that the Jets bring in a reliable veteran who doesn’t lumber like Frankenstein toward the quarterback. There are several nice options available this year in free agency including my personal favorite Conner Barwin of the Texans, who can definitely be had. Beyond him, the market includes guys like Anthony Spencer, Paul Kruger (who has Rex Ryan connections), and Shaun Phillips. Garrett McIntyre will likely be back next season, but he’s best suited as a part-time player who can split reps with a rookie, so a good reliable veteran NEEDS to be brought in.

This 2013 draft is loaded at offensive line and with edge rushers. Those are two things the Jets badly need, especially the linebackers. The Jets should absolutely use their first or second round pick on an edge rusher to give Coples and Wilkerson help up front. Look at the difference guys like Von Miller, Aldon Smith, Bruce Irvin and Jason Pierre-Paul have made for their defenses in recent years. The Jets need an immediate impact pass rusher this year. If you get a good one with the first round pick, sign a veteran like Barwin, and supplement that with a guy like McIntyre and hopefully a late-round project player as well, we’re starting to see a potentially excellent defense being formed. I’m giddy just thinking about the Calvin Pace-less linebacking corps!

SECONDARY

BUY: Revis and Cromartie – Many people are already starting to say the Jets should trade one of these two guys. 8957599-largePersonally, I really hope the Jets don’t. We all know what we have in Revis, and even coming off his ACL injury, he’s arguably the best defensive player in the NFL. I just don’t think you should go and trade away future Hall of Famers. Cromartie has blossomed into arguably the second best corner in the league this year behind Revis. That’s a lethal combination to have in such a pass happy league. Let them both lock down their receivers next year, add a pass rusher or two, and this defense can easily become the best unit in the league again.

BUY: Kyle Wilson – I am not a Kyle Wilson fan, but we can do worse at the third cornerback spot. In fact, we have been doing MUCH worse lately with Ellis Lankster in that role. Wilson has a modest price tag for next year, won’t yield much in a trade and cutting him is pointless, so he will almost certainly be back. Hopefully it’s as the #3 corner and he doesn’t have to move up to the #2 spot if the aforementioned trade occurs.

SELL: Ellis Lankster – I didn’t really enjoy the Ellis Lankster era, I’ll say that.

BUY: Aaron Berry – I was hoping we’d get to see more of him this year, but injuries knocked him out for most of the season. I expect him back to compete for a spot next year, and I’d like to see him win it.

BUY: Yeremiah Bell – Bell has very quietly put together a very good season this year. He’s getting up there in age, but he’s not going to break the bank and he provides solid veteran leadership. If he doesn’t retire, I think he will return to the Jets for another season and that would be a great move for us.

SELL: Laron Landry – I love Landry just as much as the next guy, but I think he’s going to price himself out of the Jets range. Landry has had an excellent season, and if there’s a way they can squeeze him under the cap, I’d LOVE to see him for a full season with Revis and Cromartie locking down receivers on the outside. I just don’t think it’s going to be feasible. Damn.

If Landry does end up pricing himself out of the Jets range, there are several other very good safeties who will be free agents. The most intriguing of course would be Ed Reed, who has been fighting with Baltimore over his contract for the last two years or so now. He has ties to Rex Ryan and it would be interesting to see if Rex could woo him here. Also available will be Jairus Byrd, Dashon Goldson, and Kenny Phillips of the Giants.

SELL: Eric Smith – YES! FINALLY! Good-bye Eric Smith! Go rough the punter somewhere else next year.

BUY: Antonio Allen and Josh Bush – Bush has been one of the few Tannenbaum draft choices who hasn’t been cut at least once this season, so he will definitely be back next year and will likely get more snaps. If Landry does leave, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Allen play a much more meaningful role next season either.

New York Jets Salary Cap Hell – A Roundtable Interview

An interview with Jason From NY Jets Cap and a former NFL personnel executive about the state of the New York Jets

rex-tannenbaum-woody

The New York Jets are currently in what can aptly be described as “Salary Cap Hell.” Because of that Turn On The Jets reached out to one of our favorite writers covering the team, Jason from NY Jets Cap. You won’t find anybody out there with a better grasp of the Jets financial situation. On top of that, we also spoke with our source within the NFL on the current status of the team and their upcoming future. Finally, I included a few links to worthwhile reads on how the Jets can proceed from here. Enjoy and as always discuss here in the comment section and on our Facebook and Twitter page –

TOJ – Understanding all the salary cap ramifications and his current level of play – What would you do with Mark Sanchez this off-season? And what do you predict will actually end up playing out?

NY Jets Cap – I think the situation is beyond repair and at this point he has to go. I could not even imagine bringing him back in 2013 and having him compete for a starting job. The home crowd can’t stand him and it is simply not going to work. The problem is from a cap standpoint an outright release costs the team slightly over $17 million which will not only make fielding a team more difficult but be a PR nightmare for the front office. If it was me I’d be contacting any team with a bad QB situation (Oakland and Arizona at the top of the list) and seeing if they would trade anything for him and absorb a portion of that salary for next season. At least its a small victory to bring the cap number down. If that can not be done I would designate him a June 1st cut and split the cap charges over two seasons – around $12.15 million in 2013 and $4.8 million in 2014.

I think what actually happens depends on if there is turnover in the front office or not. If there is I think they will do something along the lines of the June 1 cut. If Mike Tannenbaum is still in charge I think he will remain and they will bring his cap number down by paying some of his 2013 salary as a bonus and deal with the cap consequences of that move the following year.

TOJ – Should the Jets consider trading Antonio Cromartie or Darrelle Revis to free up cap space and begin building through the draft?

NY Jets Cap –  I would take offers for both of them. Again it depends on if you are looking short or long term. A short term move of Cromartie via trade frees up $8.25 million in cap that could go to fixing a number of weaknesses but would not net much in the way of draft compensation. Moving Revis would likely lose cap space in the short term but you would receive higher compensation for him in the draft that can really help in the future. I think there is also the consideration that Revis may not want to come back in 2014 when he will be a free agent when making the move. Either way I would not bring both back next season. Pass defense is the least of the team’s concerns and tying up $20 million in cap for those two is not going to make the team better.

TOJ – Do you think there is any way they could move Santonio Holmes or David Harris’ contract?

NY Jets Cap – Probably not. Holmes I think could have been moved had he not been injured, but his recovery has been very slow and he is coming off a poor season before that. Harris is overpaid and I dont think anyone would want him for $10.9 million in 2013, $9.5 million of which is fully guaranteed. In terms of a pure release Holmes is a candidate and the Jets would receive some credit if he signed with another team and I have to think someone would pay him at least $1-2 million on a 1 year deal. The Jets do create cap room by releasing him. Harris cant be cut due to the salary guarantee.

TOJ – Name 10 players on the current roster who won’t be on the team next season

NY Jets Cap – Bart Scott. Calvin Pace. Eric Smith. Jason Smith. Sione Pouha. LaRon Landry. Dustin Keller. Tim Tebow. Santonio Holmes. Brandon Moore.

TOJ – Considering the Jets need two new starting OLBs, a new starting RB, a new starting RT and G. How many holes can they realistically expect to fill?

smithcol25s-1-webNY Jets Cap – I guess it depends on if they go into full rebuild mode or they go into a retooling mode. The Jets have enough flexibility in their contract structure to go out and grab a few free agents that would help improve the team in the short term. The issue with that scenario is you might replay what we are going through now in another year or two.  If they take the cap pains of the bad deals in 2013 you won’t see any impact players being brought in to fill those spots. It will primarily be all stopgap players, kind of like what the Jets did in 2006 and 2007.

TOJ – Are LaRon Landry and Yeremiah Bell back next season?

NY Jets Cap – Landry won’t be. I think the price tag is too high and even if the Jets think they are retooling they have to have it in the back of their heads that he is not the answer to a long term rebuild. Bell is a lower cost player and will do 1 year contracts from here on out so I think if he wants to keep playing the Jets will welcome him back.

TOJ – Give me a best case scenario for the Jets off-season

NY Jets Cap – I tend to think the Jets have to think of their long term future and move onward. I think the best case scenario consists of low level trades for Sanchez and Tebow, trading Cromartie, re-signing Revis to a realistic contract, and releasing Holmes. It would probably leave the Jets with $20-25 million to spend in free agency to fill out the roster and not hurt them in the short term while improving their long term prospects. I’m not sure if I would consider Mike Vick or Alex Smith as a one year option at QB, but I think one of those players should be brought in for a look. Vick is more dynamic but Smith is the safer QB. The thing is it can’t be for more than a year. If not I’d look at Matt Moore from Miami and use him as a cheap one year player. If Miami started him this year they would be in the playoff hunt. But to me this is their best team that they can produce and keep 2014 wide open for major improvement.

Worst case scenario is the braintrust going behind closed doors and saying “man if we only had Holmes and Revis for the year we would be 9-7” and then going into the preseason with Sanchez and McElroy battling it out for the starting QB job without releasing any of the big contract guys.

A few quotes from a former NFL personnel executive and current employee of the league on the situation with the Jets

“A current Jets coach had this to say to me about the organization yesterday – As bad as the team looks on the outside, it is ten times worse inside the building.”  – This was a response to an inquiry about the relationship between Rex and Tannenbaum.

“Everyone says the GM should be just doing contracts but that is the worst thing he does. Have you seen the cap of the Jets? It is a mess but with the years left on his contract, I still don’t think he is going to get fired by Woody.”

“It is hard to get a read on what Rex thinks. Who knows the real deal with him because of the lies he throws in front of the media all the time?”

(On chatter about Eric DeCosta as a GM candidate) – “DeCosta is not going anywhere this off-season. Beyond that, take a look at Baltimore’s recent drafts. I don’t think the Jets make the major front office moves their fans are hoping for”

 

TOJ Off-Season Advice To Woody Johnson

Bill Barnwell On Two Potential Routes For The Jets

2013 NFL Free Agents

Turn On the Jets Stock Watch: The 2013 Offense

Mike Donnelly with his weekly Stock Watch, buying and selling members of the New York Jets offense

NFL: New York Jets at Tennessee Titans

Well, it turns out I was wrong about this Jets team. I thought they were going to win their remaining 3 games and somehow steal a playoff spot, but alas it was not meant to be. Rather than Buy (Wilkerson, Cromartie, Coples) and Sell (Sanchez, Wilson, Lankster) the same old things like I’ve done with the same old players week after week, I’m going to take a look forward toward the 2013 season. Joe already gave a great cheat sheet for Woody Johnson on what to do this offseason, but I’m going to throw my two cents in and look at what kind of replacements we can look forward to possibly wearing the green and white in 2013. Today I’m going to focus on the coaching staff and the offense. Tomorrow I’ll be back with the defense, so be sure to check back.

(Keep in mind this is going to obviously change drastically between now and when the offseason gets into full swing, but this sure beats discussing the Chargers game, right?)

FRONT OFFICE

SELL: Mike Tannenbaum and Terry BradwayFIRED.

COACHING

BUY: Rex Ryan and the Defensive Coaching Staff – Rex Ryan absolutely deserves the benefit of the doubt and should get another crack at getting this thing right. The guy gets his team ready to play every week, and the players love and respect him. Woody Johnson is not going to throw gold bars at Bill Cowher or Jon Gruden to come here, so where are we going to get a better coach than Rex? Do you want to be sitting there in two years saying “I wish we kept Rex!” as our defense flounders? I don’t.

SELL: Tony Sparano, Matt Cavanaugh, Dave DeGuglielmo – Cavanaugh’s firing is a long time coming, so there’s really not much else to say that I haven’t already. As for Tony Sparano, I don’t think he’s done an awful this year, it’s just that it hasn’t been very good. Aside from the awful statistics and whatnot, it is unacceptable how often this team looks completely and utterly confused. It looks as if the call comes in on the headset in Japanese and Sanchez does his best to translate to everyone, so what we end up seeing is the clock running down, guys frantically trying to get to their spot, Sanchez can’t get a look at the defense, and the defense jumps the snap because they know it’s about to happen. Ugh.

Oh, and he can take his delusional buddy Coach Gooch with him. Who is Coach Gooch you may be asking? He’s they psychopath who emphatically claimed Wayne Hunter was the best right tackle out there and they’d have to shoot him dead to bench him. That man has an eye for talent

BUY: Norv Turner as OC – This it he kind of guy Rex Ryan should have had in here since Day One. When great coordinators take over the Head Coach position, they need to be paired with a very strong coach on the other side of the ball, because their natural inclination is to focus on what they know. Instead, we suffered through three years of Brian Schottenheimer, and one year of Tony Sparano who seemed way in over his head. Look around the league and you’ll see how the Jets butchered even this. Gary Kubiak was on the verge of being fired until he hired Wade Phillips. Mike McCarty was given Dom Capers. Get Rex someone like Norv who is an excellent offensive coach, and this team can turn things around rather quickly.

QUARTERBACKS

BUY: Sanchez being here – Might as well get used to it now. He’s going to be here.

BUY: McElroy and Matt Moore – Having these two guys compete with Sanchez in a true competition in training camp is probably the best we can hope for at this point. Good quarterbacks don’t grow on trees, and if we’re going to just take a mid-round prospect, we might as well see what McElroy can do first, right?

SELL: Tim Tebow – I feel really bad for Tebow for having to endure this crap all year, and I genuinely like him. I just don’t want him as our quarterback, and he’s going to force his way out the first chance he gets.

RUNNING BACKS

Jets Jaguarslw23SELL: Shonn Greene – Personally, I have no problem with Greene and I think he’s a strong complimentary runner. The problem is it seems like the team is going to go with Bilal Powell as the 1B option, so we are going to need a better 1A option, preferably someone who can break a big play once in a while.

BUY: Making a Trade – This appears to be a pretty good year to go out and get a veteran running back. There should be plenty of options available for a trade and most won’t cost all that much. The top of the line guys who may be available via trade or after they’re released are MJD, Darren McFadden, Deangelo Williams, Steven Jackson and Chris Johnson. I doubt the Jets will be able to afford any of them, but there are plenty of second tier options as well. A guy I’d love to see them explore is Ben Tate of the Texans, who is glued to the bench behind Arian Foster. I also agree with Joe that Chris Ivory is a guy to definitely sniff around, and after his poor year, Rashard Mendenhall can likely be had for a mid-to-late round pick. There are solid options here, but if all else fails, I actually wouldn’t mind bringing Greene back either.

BUY: Joe McKnight – Whoever our new coordinator is: Please… please try to use Joe McKnight at least a little bit. Thanks.

SELL: Lex Hillard – Good-bye.

RECEIVERS / TIGHT ENDS

BUY: Holmes, Kerley, Stephen Hill – All three will be here next year playing major roles, and if Hill develops heading into year 2, it’s actually a nice trio of receivers. Of course, Hill can’t totally be relied upon, so it would be nice to have a veteran receiver who can get deep down the field and also provides a big reliable target. If only Tannenbaum brought in a guy like that prior to the season… oh wait, in week 15 he did! You know who I mean…

BUY: Braylon Edwards – Braylon never should have been allowed to leave after 2010, that much is obvious. Now that he’s back, he obviously wants to stay, and he will be willing to take a low guarantee/incentive-laden type contract. There is no reason this shouldn’t happen.

SELL: Chaz Schilens, Jason Hill, Clyde Gates, Mardy Gilyard – Ha.

SELL: Dustin Keller – One of the Jets “premiere” free-agents this year is Dustin Keller. His great value to the team was he was the receiver who had the best chemistry and rapport with quarterback Mark Sanchez. Well, now that Sanchez’s days appear to be numbered, there’s no real point in keeping Keller around. He’s undersized, doesn’t have elite athleticism, and he’s a below average blocker. Let someone else overpay him this offseason.

BUY: Anthony Fasano – It makes too much sense, so it probably won’t happen, but Fasano is the exact kind of tight end this team can use. He’s a big, physical player and he’s a strong blocker. He can also get down the seam and make an occasional big play, as well as being a big red-zone target. He’s not great, but he’s the kind of low-cost role player this offense needs. Other options could include Delanie Walker of the 49ers, or James Casey of the Texans.

BUY: Cumberland and Reuland – If a player like Fasano is brought in, I have no problem with Cumberland being the #2 TE who can provide a bit of a receiving threat. I’m not the biggest fan of him, but we can do worse.

OFFENSIVE LINE

BUY: D’Brickashaw and Mangold – Two elite players at their positions, so they won’t be going anywhere, nor should they.

BUY: Austin Howard – I had my doubts at the beginning of the season, but Howard has really come on lately and been a solid player for us. He’s not a Pro Bowler or anything, but he can provide a low-cost and reliable option going forward. His pass protection leaves something to be desired, but he can push the pile and is a very good run blocker.

SELL: Matt Slauson – I like Slauson and wouldn’t mind seeing him back, but he’s a free agent and will likely be seeking a pay increase. He’s a slightly above average player and could hold the fort, but it will likely come down to him or Brandon Moore being retained, and Moore will likely win out. One of the guard spots needs to be upgraded to get this line back to the dominant unit it used to be, and Slauson will likely get the boot.

BUY: Using a 1st or 2nd Round Pick on a Guard – There are plenty of excellent linemen in this draft and this is the year to get one of them. The Big Ugly, Vlad Ducasse will likely be back as the first backup off the bench, perhaps even taking the Jason Smith “extra tight end” role. Get used to hearing “62 is eligibile”!

SELL: Jason Smith – Speaking of Smith, he has a 0% chance of not being cut due to his contract numbers. I wouldn’t be shocked to see him back under a much cheaper deal, but the Jets likely won’t be able to afford whatever he will be asking for.