New York Jets – Can They Remain A Factor In Mediocre AFC?

Can the New York Jets remain a factor in the increasingly mediocre AFC?

In case you haven’t noticed, the 2012 AFC is a breeding ground of mediocrity. Through six weeks, only two teams are over .500 (Baltimore and Houston, both at 5-1) and there are seven teams sitting at 3-3. Beyond that, you have eight teams under .500, including five teams who are already at least two games under. Let’s take a quick, semi-serious look at the flaws with every team –

Houston (5-1) – They just lost Brian Cushing for the season and were stomped out in their own building by the Green Bay Packers. They barely scrapped by the Jets as they were acclimating about 6 new players to full time roles. When has Matt Schaub ever won an important game? Seriously, name one.

Baltimore (5-1) – No Lardarius Webb (a huge on field loss). No Ray Lewis (a huge locker room loss). Terrell Suggs still not all the way healthy and Haloti Ngata is banged up. They are almost entirely reliant on their offense right now. Is Joe Flacco really on that level yet? He has shown signs but did also only score 9 points against the Chiefs who couldn’t beat 11 sobbing Jason Whitlocks right now.

Jets (3-3) – Of course, I am listing them before all the other 3-3 teams not based any specific criteria just because this is a Jets website after all. I won’t go into the Jets flaws here because I do that every single day and night (check for our articles later today!)

Patriots (3-3) – Marquice Cole might be the best player in their secondary right now. Also they manage their games like you would if you played your little brother in Madden. Basically, you have Belichick and Brady keeping a Joe Biden sh*t eating grin on their face until they get an intentional grounding and a 10 second run off before the half so they can’t kick a field goal…and then lose by 1 point.

Denver (3-3) – You can’t fall behind 3 touchdowns and win every week because you can’t play Philip Rivers and Norv Turner every week. Their running backs are awful and their defense is criminally overrated (trust me, I know a criminally overrated defense when I see one…look at the team I cover).

San Diego (3-3) – Can’t wait until they finish 8-8 and somehow bring back Norv, their GM and Rivers for one more run! Remember, insanity is the definition of doing the same thing over and over again while expecting a different result.

Buffalo (3-3) – Mario Williams is the most overpaid player in football. Their defense is thoroughly atrocious  They are a lock to go 1-5 in the AFC East. Oh and their fans will be seeing this sign on their way to games in a few years…

Miami (3-3) – Not sold on the Tannehill-Hartline love fest yet. Despite beating powerhouses like Oakland, St. Louis and Cincinnati who promptly turned around and got whipped by 0-5 Cleveland. Also Reggie Bush is inevitably going to get hurt.

Cincinnati (3-3) – AJ Green is a fantasy God-send. Seriously, he is more consistent than intense stomach pains after a meal at PF Changs. Unfortunately, Andy Dalton has never beat a team over .500 in his life. BenJarvus Green-Ellis is not a lead back and their defense has taken a major step back.

Pittsburgh (2-3) – Outside of their passing game, they don’t do anything particularly well any more. Their defense is old and slow. Calvin Pace, Eric Smith, Bryan Thomas and Bart Scott would fit right in.

Indianapolis (2-3) – They won’t win more than 2 games on the road this season. No matter how many “LOOK AT THE POISE!” articles on Andrew Luck are written, he is still a rookie working with a suspect supporting cast.

Cleveland (1-5) – Most accurate description of a sports city possible –

Oakland (1-4) – If the Raiders traded two 7th round picks for Carson Palmer they would have overpaid. Nevermind what they actually paid for him.

Tennessee (2-4) – Matt Hasselbeck is still better than Jake Locker, which isn’t a good sign for the long term health of this franchise. Chris Johnson. (Nothing else needs to be added).

Jacksonville (1-4) – Are we surprised it looks like they overpaid for Laurent Robinson and that Blaine Gabbert is still awful? Would they still take Tebow for a 3rd round pick?

Kansas City (1-5) – Brady Quinn! Peyton Hillis! Dontari Poe! Jonathan Baldwin! BOOOO!!!!!!!

So where do the New York Jets fit into this cluster of mediocrity heading into week 7? Fortunately, in the division they are off to a good start by being 2-0 where tie-breakers will be of enormous importance. They have played both San Francisco and Houston already while New England has played neither and Buffalo and Miami have only played one apiece. Their schedule for the rest of the season doesn’t make it implausible to think they could grab 9 wins in a conference where 9 wins could equal a division title and 8 wins could equal a wild-card spot.

Ultimately their success this year will depend on how the new parts acclimate to extended playing time. Rex Ryan appears to have recognized the shortcomings on his base defense and looks to be using more varied looks and personnel. The Jets need players like Quinton Coples, Demario Davis, Antonio Allen and Josh Bush to grow on the job while players like Antonio Cromartie, David Harris and Muhammad Wilkerson provide leadership and supply elevated levels of play that matches their talent.

On offense, Mark Sanchez needs to get the most out of his young group of receivers, starting this week in New England. We will get into this more tomorrow when we discuss offensive and defense game plans but the Jets must throw the ball down the field against the Patriots brutal secondary. This is the type of game they drafted Stephen Hill for and one that Jeremy Kerley, who is turning into a serious playmaker, should thrive in.

Obviously the running game must also remain effective. We have been harshly critical of Shonn Greene’s performance on this site in recent weeks because the film dictated that type of criticism. Greene broke out last week, thanks to better vision, a surprising amount of broken tackles, stronger run blocking and a weak run defense. Greene will shoulder a big load again this week and likely  next week while Joe McKnight and Bilal Powell are recovering from injuries. He must continue performing, to give balance to the Jets offense and open up the play action passing game. Proper use of Tim Tebow should also enhance a running game that has been struggling.

The Jets are facing a pivotal part of their schedule with two upcoming division games. They have an ability to take a stranglehold on the AFC East by winning their next two or an ability to dig themselves in a hole with losses in both. Realistically, a split should be the goal and would set them up well for a second half that features games against Jacksonville, Tennessee, Buffalo, St. Louis and San Diego at home in December.

This is a flawed team in a conference of flawed teams. There is an opportunity to create a little separation from the pack and gain a little respect with a win this week. Let’s see if the Jets are up to it.

New York Jets Week 6 Grade Report – High Marks

The grade report for the New York Jets week 6 trouncing of the New England Patriots

Quarterbacks (A) – Easy to laugh at a (A) for a 82 yard passing day for Mark Sanchez. However, he didn’t need to do anymore. He completed 60 percent of his passes, moved the chains when he needed to and hit two touchdown passes into tight windows. Most importantly, there were no turnovers. New England’s secondary is awful, particularly down the middle against the deep ball so the game-plan will be more aggressive next week and Sanchez needs to respond. That Tebow guy had a nice conversion on a 3rd and short.

Running Backs (A+) – Shonn Greene played his best game since the 2009 playoffs, racking up over 160 yards and 3 touchdowns. Most importantly, he broke tackles and made a few people miss. He ran decisively and showed better vision than in previous weeks. Joe McKnight also ripped off a 61 yard run. It sounds like despite an ankle injury, he will be able to play this week. Bilal Powell saw limited action and dislocated his shoulder. He will likely be out a few games.

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends (A) – The entire group made contributions. Stephen Hill caught all three of the passes thrown to him, including one for a touchdown and two for first downs. Jeremy Kerley had three more catches. Chaz Schilens converted a pair of third downs and even Jason Hill pulled in a short touchdown catch. Dustin Keller had a nice game blocking of all things while Jeff Cumberland continued to struggle in that role and also dropped a pass.

Offensive Line (A+) – A long overdue dominating performance from the Jets frequently maligned offensive line. They pushed the Colts all over the field and imposed their will in the running game. Sanchez was also given a clean pocket and only sacked once on the day.

Defensive Line (A) – Signs of life from the pass rush. Muhammad Wilkerson was all over the field, finishing with 7 tackles, a sack, a forced fumble, a tackle for a loss and a pass defensed. Quinton Coples recorded 1.5 sacks, making him already that much better than Vernon Gholson (as Mike Tannenbaum breathes a sigh of relief). Mike DeVito deserves praise for holding down the fort at nose tackle with Sione Pouha and Kenrick Ellis out.

Linebackers (B) – A quiet day overall from this unit but they performed in the running game. Demario Davis is starting to see extended playing time and looks active rushing the passer. Bart Scott and David Harris only combined for 5 tackles, a rarity.

Secondary (A) – Antonio Cromartie continued his All-Pro caliber season pulling in another interception and slowing down Reggie Wayne. Rookie Antonio Allen recorded his first career sack. LaRon Landry and Yeremiah Bell were active in the running game and combined for an impressive 17 tackles. A quiet day for Kyle Wilson, which is a good thing.

Special Teams (A) – Another week, another converted fake punt. Well-designed by Mike Westhoff and well executed by Tim Tebow and Nick Bellore.

Coaching (A) – Rex Ryan deserves credit for building this team back up after they were embarrassed a few weeks ago by San Francisco. They are headed in the right direction and appear ready to be a factor in the increasingly wide open AFC. Tony Sparano executed the type of game plan he talked about all summer on offense and Mike Pettine’s defense had their best game of the year.

 

Sanchez Breakdown: Efficient, Sufficient

Rob Celletti breaks down Mark Sanchez’s performance against the Indianapolis Colts

Stat line: 11/18, 82 Yards, 2 touchdowns – 109.0 QB rating, 61.1 completion percentage

Season stats: 88/177, 1,125 Yards, 8 touchdowns, 6 interceptions – 70.9 QB rating, 49.7 completion percentage

To start this week’s breakdown, why not hear it from Mark Sanchez himself?

“A good running game, a good defense with three takeaways and a good special teams. Those are all a quarterback’s best friend.”

Damn right, Mark! This is a team game, and Sunday’s game was a great example of how, despite being the most important position in football, the quarterback simply cannot be asked to win every single game on his own – especially when he’s working with a patchwork stable of skill players. The Jets’ revived rushing attack enabled to Sanchez to keep the game simple, and also afforded him some holes to throw into in the red zone.

The Best: People who are quick to dismiss Sanchez seem to forget that last year, he was one of the best red zone quarterbacks in the NFL. This season though, Sanchez has committed a few backbreaking, game-changing turnovers with the Jets on the doorstep. Yesterday, “Good” Sanchez made a return inside the 20. Both of the touchdown throws illustrated that Sanchez is a more-than-capable player at this level. The Stephen Hill score showed great patience by Sanchez and a rapidly developing chemistry with his rookie wideout, as it appeared that Hill’s route was originally supposed to take him across the back of the end zone. Seeing that the left corner was vacated, Hill broke the route and gave Sanchez a target, which he did not miss (this, by the way, is another throw that the other quarterbacks on the Jets roster cannot make: Tebow lacks the accurace, McElroy the arm strength). The Jason Hill touchdown was an easy pitch and catch which displayed good arm strength and accuracy from Sanchez (and no J.J. Watt to tip the pass at the line of scrimmage).

The Worst: In such a blowout, being negative on any part of the quarterback’s game would be nitpicking. The bottom line is that Sanchez just needed to be efficient. The Colts didn’t pose much of a threat offensively, and the Jets had established dominance on the ground. Some people might be irked by the fact that the Jets had two consecutive three and outs to open the 3rd quarter. The passing game also lacked any sort of downfield element, which it absolutely needs going forward.

The Key Moment: Eric Mangini (yes, I just went there) used to speak of playing “complementary football,” which was his ludicrous way of saying that good play on defense leads to good offense, which leads to good special teams, and around and around we go. This was on display yesterday. When Antonio Cromartie intercepted Andrew Luck in the 2nd quarter, the Jets were only up 7-3.  Starting with the ball on the Colts’ 35, the Jets simply had to convert that turnover into a touchdown, to put an inferior opponent and its rookie quarterback behind the 8-ball. Sanchez only had to complete two passes on this drive, but one was a key 12 yarder to Chaz Schilens on 3rd and 6. Again, being held to a field goal here maybe keeps the Colts in the game, but the Jets scored a touchdown and were on their way to a much-needed rout.

The Jets took care of business at home against a below-average Colts team. 82 yards from Sanchez will not be enough next week to beat New England. The Jets had success throwing long against the Texans and throwing short, intermediate and in the red zone against the Colts. They will need a complete performance from Sanchez to pull the upset. He showed he could do it in Week 1, but consistency has always been the issue for #6, so we’ll see what he comes up with in Week 7.

No Huddle – New York Jets Very Much Alive Edition

TJ Rosenthal goes No Huddle on the New York Jets after their big win over the Indianapolis Colts. Are they ready for New England?

Brace yourselves folks. Everyone’s favorite circus act, the New York Jets, are in a first place deadlock and headed for Foxboro. Surprised? Don’t be. It’s the NFL, where anything can happen and the “next man up” approach can yield some new fresh, hungry ballplayers. Maybe these NEW 2012 Jets are beginning to gain some solid footing. A solid performance against Houston. A better collective one yesterday.

1 – Wait, was that…Shonn Greene?

Yesterday’s 160 yard, 3 TD version of Greene was the one that the Jets staff hoped to build the ground and pound around. Now the question is, ‘who is the real Shonn Greene?’

If it’s even half the runner we saw Sunday, not the guy who owned a 2.9 avg prior to kickoff, then the Jets may be able to hit some plays downfield using the play action as the season develops. Control teams on the ground too. Let’s hope his efforts weren’t a mirage, as much as a new starting point for himself and his run blockers up front.

2 – That’s How You Use Tebow

He threw a pass out of a punt formation. He charged forward for positive yards on first down. He had a shot carrying the rock by the goal line. Tim Tebow as a weapon, in our eyes, is beginning to take shape. Forget the idea that Tebow is going to take Sanchez’s job. With some targets back and a resurgent run game, we saw Sanchez the game manager do a fine job out there. Providing the offense an engine boost  on the fake punt, in the wildcat as a decoy and a ball carrier. THAT’S a weapon. Nice job 15.

3 – Do It Through A Strength In Numbers

The Jets offense lacks All Pro names at the skill positions. Where they can be successful anyway, is through a strength in numbers.

The backs: Bilal Powell had two nice runs before injuring his shoulder. Joe McKnight broke one big gainer before he hurt his ankle. Shonn Greene had a career day.

The receievers: The Hills had touchdowns. Chaz Schilens made plays. Jeremy Kerley has emerged as a playmaker. Dustin Keller is back.

Look, it’s not how it was first drawn up, with Santonio Holmes on one side. It can be effective though, if this unit grows in confidence. Yesterday’s performance helped in that department.

4 – Relax, It Was Just The Colts: Or Was It?

If you told us not to get too excited about beating a team with a rookie QB, BEFORE the Colts beat the Packers two weeks back, we’d have taken your advice. Look at the past three weeks in the NFL though. The Colts beat the Packers. The Texans barely get by the Jets. The Jets beat up the Colts and the Packers blow out the Texans. What that tells us is what we all already know; that it’s a week to week league. A win is a win. Period. Anyone can be beat so make sure you win the winnable games. After all, “On any given Sunday…”

5 – Give It Up For Rex Ryan

So much for the “hot seat” some idiots said Rex was on. How about giving it up for Ryan today instead?

Rex doesn’t warrant kudos for any old “Big Rex” bluster and camera grabbing quotes of bravado or motivation. He has earned it this go round by his simple ability to navigate. Ryan has weathered the storm of two major season ending injuries. Has held strong on his headline grabbing QB situation, despite the pressure to turn to Tebow. Has shown leadership as his Jets team has fought to survive through a tough early schedule and personnel rebranding. This in a media capital that never let’s his team breathe, even when the Jets AREN’T asking for attention.

The Jets are 3-3 and in a four way tie for first in the AFC East. 2-0 in the division. Even with a roster that included Holmes and Darrelle Revis, the situation might not be much better than it is right now.

Now the Jets get set for a week 7 battle in Foxboro against the Pats. Still in position to do all the things they set out to do, before week 1 kicked off.

Way to go Rex. Way to keep the  wings that looked rickety and tattered when the Jets plummeted at home 34-0 to San Fran in week 5, firmly attached to the plane. It’s a brand new season now. No, all is not perfect, but the AFC East is still for the taking though.

Ryan deserves some credit for that.

Initial Reaction – Return Of Ground And Pound, Jets Back To .500

The New York Jets got back to .500 by steamrolling the Indianapolis Colts behind a power running game

The New York Jets played the type of football game today that they talked about playing all summer. Behind a smash-mouth rushing attack and a suffocating defense, they steamrolled the overmatched Indianapolis Colts 35-9. Without question the story of this game was the much maligned (especially from this site) Shonn Greene having a career day with 32 carries, 161 yards and 3 touchdowns. Joe McKnight also chipped in a 61 yard run to help boost the Jets rushing total on the day to a gaudy 253 yards.

It didn’t leave much for the passing game to do. Mark Sanchez was an efficient 11/18 for 82 yards with 2 touchdowns and no turnovers. It was good to see rookie Stephen Hill back out there and contributing, as he caught his third touchdown of the season and had three receptions. The Jets used Tim Tebow in a sensible way, allowing him to convert a third and short from an empty formation and letting him run a few read options with Greene. He also converted another fake punt, his third of the season, hitting Nick Bellore for a 24 yard completion.

On defense, we finally saw signs of a pass rush. Quinton Coples finished with 1.5 sacks, the first of his career. Rookie safety Antonio Allen also had a sack in his Jets debut and Muhammad Wilkerson had a strip sack, his first of the season. Antonio Cromartie continued his All-Pro caliber season, keeping Reggie Wayne in check and recording his third interception of the season. The Colts were never able to establish a running game, finishing with only 41 yards on 17 carries.

It was an encouraging, confidence building win for the Jets against an inferior team. People who write off the Jets as one of the league’s worst teams and talk like their season is over, forget their ability to dominate teams like the Colts on their schedule and there are more like them on the way. They aren’t on the way this upcoming week though, as the Jets will travel to New England in a battle for first place in the AFC East. It will be a difficult task as always to slow down New England’s high power offense.

Regardless, the AFC is bunched together and it is going to stay that way. The Jets are 3-3. 2-0 in their division and 3-2 in the AFC. Their season is far from over and if they continue to improve, have the ability to be a factor in the AFC playoff race.

…And now it is Patriots week.

Turn On The Jets Roundtable Week 6 – Jets/Colts Predictions

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their predictions for Jets/Colts

Joe Caporoso – 12 Pack

Chris Gross – Jets 27, Colts 10 – The Jets are coming off consecutive losses at home to what are arguably the league’s two best teams. New York hasn’t lost three consecutive home games since Rex Ryan’s first year as head coach, back in 2009. Conversely, the Colts are coming off a very inspired, hard fought victory at home to the Green Bay Packers. Andrew Luck has looked quite sharp all year, relying heavily on veteran wide receiver Reggie Wayne as his primary receiving option. However, Luck has yet to face a defense quite like Ryan’s unit, a task normally difficult to prepare for for any quarterback, especially a rookie, on the road. Look for the Jets to come out extremely aggressive, defensively, to try to hit and rattle the youngster early. Antonio Cromartie has been playing elite level football, and if he can continue his dominant play against Wayne, Indianapolis will need to rely heavily on Luck and their subpar running game.

Offensively, the Jets have looked anything but sharp since their week 1 blowout of the Buffalo Bills. However, since dominating Buffalo, New York has face 4 consecutive defenses ranked within the top 11 in run defense. Look for the ground game to finally get going this week, with Shonn Greene and Bilal Powell leading the way. Whether or not Greene deserves carries is certainly up for debate, but based on the vote of confidence he received from Rex Ryan this week, it looks like he will continue to get the majority of the load for Gang Green, at least for now.

Mark Sanchez also gets back two key players to his receiving corps in Dustin Keller and Stephen Hill. Keller’s presence alone should give Sanchez a nice feeling of security and confidence as he tries to lead this extremely young group of skill position players to victory. With key veterans like Santonio Holmes out, Sanchez needs to assume that leadership role and begin to make everyone around him better. Whether or not he has the ability to do that at this point still remains to be seen, but look for this offense to do enough to contribute to a double digit victory and get back to .500.

Mike Donnelly – I think the Jets whole season is coming down to this game against the Colts. If they lose this, we might as well start checking out the 2013 draft classes, because the Pats are going to steam roll our defense and then Miami is not going to be an easy game. There would be a pretty solid chance we’d be staring at 2-6 heading into the bye, and Rex Ryan knows it. That is why I fully expect this team to come out and play their best game since week 1 against Buffalo. The Colts are coming off a huge win at home against Green Bay and they are primed for a major letdown. They’re outside of their dome, playing in unfamiliar conditions, and as good as Andrew Luck is, he’s still a rookie, and Rex Ryan feasts as rookie quarterbacks. Look for the Jets defense to play very well, confuse Luck, and pull out the win 24-13. Oh, and since no Jets write up is complete without the obligatory Sanchez/Tebow mention, I think Sanchez is going to play very well and silence the critics for at least one week. Jets roll, and in my opinion, the 3 point spread is a gift. After all, Evan Silva has the Colts winning outright.. Just saying.

Chris Celletti – If you read my Best Bets piece, you know I think the Jets are going to win and cover the 3.5 pint spread. I think this is a good combination of the Jets being due to play a good overall, 60 minute football game and the Colts facing a little bit of a let down after an emotional upset win over the Packers last week. As I’ve previously stated, I think the Jets find some success on the ground against the Colts. I’m not saying Shonn Greene will end up with 100+ yards or anything, but I think the Jets as a team go for somewhere around 160 yards, with a good combination of Greene, Bilal Powell, Joe McKnight and Tim Tebow. Here are a few bold predictions, I think both Tebow and Antonio Cromartie score touchdowns – on offense. The Jets’ defense does enough to corral the Colts’ weak running game and confuse Andrew Luck into a few turnovers. As with any Jet game, it’ll be nervy in the fourth quarter, but a late Nick Folk field goal gets the Jets back to .500 with a 24-14 win.

Rob Celletti – Even though the Jets are on a two-game losing streak (which feels like four, considering the level of play the Jets displayed against Miami), it seems like things are starting to turn. The shock of losing Darrelle Revis and Santonio Holmes is starting to wear off. The defense showed some life in the second half on Monday vs. the Texans. And finally, the Jets face a defense that isn’t ranked in the top 10 in the NFL.

Yes, Andrew Luck is going to be a tough out, but the Colts are coming in off of a very, very emotional home win and are primed for a letdown. The Jets will be able to move the ball on the ground which should set up nicely for Mark Sanchez to finally get some opportunities on playaction. I think the offense will be able to produce 3 touchdowns, which should be enough. Jets 24, Colts 17

Turn On The Jets Week 6 NFL Picks

The Turn On The Jets staff gives their week 6 NFL Picks as the Race For Steak Continues

The Race for Steak continues. Note that last week’s record includes the most recent Thursday Night game –

CURRENT STANDINGS

1. Mike Donnelly (43-33-2)

2. Rob  Celletti (36-38-4)

3. Chris Gross (35-40-3)

4. Chris Celletti (32-43-3)

5. Joe Caporoso (31-44-3)

Joe Caporoso

Last Week (7-7)

  • Browns (+2) vs. Bengals
  • Jets (-3) vs. Colts
  • Vikings (PK) vs. Redskins
  • Chiefs (+4.5) vs. Bucs
  • Falcons (-9) vs. Raiders
  • Ravens (-3.5) vs. Cowboys
  • Eagles (-3) vs. Lions
  • Rams (+4) vs. Dolphins
  • Patriots (-3.5) vs. Seahawks
  • Cardinals (-4.5) vs. Bills
  • Giants (+6.5) vs. 49ers
  • Packers (+3.5) vs. Texans
  • Broncos (+1) vs. Chargers

Mike Donnelly

Last Week (7-7)

  • Cowboys +3.5 @ Ravens
  • Bucs -4.5 vs. Chiefs
  • Browns +2 vs. Bengals
  • Lions +3 @ Eagles
  • Raiders +9 @ Falcons
  • Rams +4 @ Dolphins
  • Jets -3 vs. Colts
  • Cardinals -4.5 vs. Bills
  • Seahawks +3.5 vs. Patriots
  • 49ers -6.5 vs. Giants
  • Texans -3.5 vs. Packers
  • Broncos +1 @ Chargers
  • Vikings (PK) vs. Redskins

Rob Celletti

Last Week (8-6)

  • Browns (+2) over Bengals
  • Jets (-3) over Colts
  • Bucs (-4) over Chiefs
  • Raiders (+9.5) over Falcons
  • Ravens (-3.5) over Cowboys
  • Eagles (-3.5) over Lions
  • Dolphins (-5) over Rams
  • Patriots (-3.5) over Seahawks
  • Cardinals (-4) over Bills
  • Giants (+7) over 49ers
  • Packers (+3.5) over Texans
  • Vikings (PK) over Redskins
  • Broncos (-1) over Chargers

Chris Celletti

Last Week (7-7)

  • Bengals -2
  • Jets -3.5
  • Bucs -4.5
  • Raiders +9.5
  • Ravens -3.5
  • Eagles -3
  • Rams +5
  • Pats -3.5
  • Bills +4
  • Giants +7
  • Packers +3.5
  • Vikings PK
  • Broncos PK

Chris Gross

Last Week (10-4)

  • Bengals (-2)
  • Jets (-3)
  • Bucs (-4)
  • Raiders (+9.5)
  • Ravens (-3)
  • Eagles (-3.5)
  • Dolphins (-4.5)
  • Seahawks (+3.5)
  • Cardinals (-4)
  • Giants (+7)
  • Packers (+3.5)
  • Broncos (-1)
  • Vikings (PK)

Turn On The Jets 12 Pack, Week 6 – Jets vs. Colts

Turn On The Jets with 12 predictions for Jets/Colts in week 6

Big week here at Turn On The Jets as we added a new banner and an official new tagline to the site. RIP to the Ground and Pound…”Mission To Civilize” is here to stay. 

On to the predictions (5-0 in game picks so far here by the way…just saying) –

1. This will be the last time I ever predict Mark Sanchez to complete over 50% of his passes if he does not do it. But yes, for one last time…Mark Sanchez will complete over 50% of his passes and throw for over 200 yards. He will have a turnover but also throw two touchdowns.

2. Antonio Cromartie will hold Reggie Wayne under 60 yards receiving. Wayne will be a tougher match-up for Cromartie than Andre Johnson because of how the Colts move him around the formation and because he is quicker out of his breaks/a better route runner.

3. More so because of the Colts struggles on offense than the Jets defense, Indianapolis won’t rush for over 100 yards this week.

4. Shonn Greene will rush for over 3.8 yards per carry this Sunday, for the first and maybe last time this season.

5. Jeremy Kerley will catch his third touchdown of the season and lead the Jets with 75 yards receiving.

6. Dustin Keller will catch a touchdown and finish with 4 or more receptions.

7. Andrew Luck will throw for over 250 yards this week but also have a pair of turnovers to go with a touchdown pass.

8. The Jets special teams will make a play that directly leads to points.

9. Jonathan Grimes will get his first carries of the season this week.

10. Tim Tebow won’t play more than 10 total snaps on offense.

11. Nick Folk will continue his perfect season so far, knocking through 2 more field goals.

12. The Jets will snap their 2 game losing streak with an encouraging 20-10 win. Mark Sanchez will play well enough to keep his job another week, which is a good thing because he is guy you want under center against New England.

New York Jets Fact Or False: Week 6 Edition

Chris Gross gives his weekly Fact or False, previewing Jets/Colts

The New York Jets are coming off a very hard fought week 5 loss against arguably the league’s best team, the Houston Texans. Unfortunately, like Head Coach Rex Ryan pointed out, there are no moral victories in this league, despite the numerous amount of positive things the Jets may have done this past Monday night. Heading into week 6, the Jets look to get back to .500 as they host the surging, 2-2 Indianapolis Colts, led by rookie sensation Andrew Luck and a revived Reggie Wayne.

There has been a lot of talk recently about the Jets being a desperate team, in need of serious roster adjustments, if they wish to have any chance at the post season this year. However, as ESPN‘s Colin Cowherd pointed out yesterday, the Jets are not a desperate team. The Jets are a very young team who are in need of their younger players to step their play up.

That’s correct, the Jets are actually a very young team. New York has been criticized as of late for being “old and slow,” however, of the 22 starters on this team, only 4 are over 30 years of age. At linebacker, yes, New York is certainly old and rather slow in comparison to other units around the league. In fact, of the 4 players that are over 30, 3 of them occupy 75% of the linebacking corps.

So where do the Jets go from here? Do they pick themselves up off the mat and realize that this season is far from dead? Or do they read the press clippings from just about every mainstream media outlet and pack it in, in preparation for 2013? Will the vaunted “ground and pound” that we’ve heard so much about finally get going this week? Are Mark Sanchez’s days as this team’s starting quarterback over? And finally, will the defense build on its strong second half from last week and shut down Luck and the Colts offense? Find out all of that and more in this weeks’s edition of New York Jets Fact Or False.

The Colts will run for 100+ yards. False. Indianapolis may be the only team in the NFL whose stable of running backs is just as shallow as New York’s. Donald Brown is seemingly filling the Shonn Greene role of getting carries by default, solely because there is such a lack of depth at the position. The Colts currently rank 19th in the league in rushing offense averaging 97.5 yards per contest. New York’s run defense came on very strong in the second half last week against Houston, and outside of a few very nice runs from Arian Foster, arguably the league’s best back, played particularly well all game. The Colts certainly do not have anyone on the roster that comes close to the talent level of Foster, so look for the Jets to take the run away early, and try to put in on the rookie Andrew Luck to beat them. Not an easy task against a Rex Ryan constructed defense, on the road.

Mark Sanchez will play well enough to keep his job. Fact. Sanchez has certainly struggled recently, posting historically bad numbers in terms of his completion percentage. Despite his depleted arsenal of weapons, he is still inexcusably missing key throws that he should be making. That being said, Sanchez will likely get back two key pieces of this offense in rookie Stephen Hill, who was monstrous for New York in Week 1 (a game that feels like it occurred light years ago), and tight end Dustin Keller.

Keller has been famously known as Sanchez’s most trusted target and safety blanket. As the team’s longest tenured receiving option, that perception is absolutely correct. Sanchez relies upon a good receiving tight end in key spots. Last week, Jeff Cumberland watched a Sanchez pass go off of his hands into the hands of the Houston defense, ultimately sealing the game on Monday night. Whether or not Keller would have caught that pass is irrelevant. However, Keller’s presence alone should give Sanchez some much needed confidence and a better feeling of security in knowing that his trustworthy tight end is back. With the return of Keller and Hill, expect to see an offensive improvement this week.

The Jets will rush for over 100 yards. Fact. It is depressing to Jets fans everywhere, that each week they have to wonder whether or not this offense, supposedly built on running the football, can collectively surpass 100 yards on the ground. However, over their past 4 games, the Jets have faced 4 of the best run defenses in the entire league. Pittsburgh currently ranks 11th in run defense, Miami 1st, San Francisco 7th, and Houston 9th. Four consecutive weeks of facing top 11 run defenses. While this is not an excuse for the Jets lack of execution in this area of their offense, they head into week 6 facing a much weaker unit. Indianapolis currently ranks 26th in run defense, allowing 135.8 yards per contest. With Robert Mathis out, there is really no one within the Colts front seven that should cause problems for the Jets running game. Look for Shonn Greene, who got a recent vote of confidence from Rex Ryan, to continue to get the majority of the carries, finishing with 75-90 yards, while Bilal Powell and Tim Tebow chip in for a collective total of about 50 yards on the ground. Once again, it will not be pretty, but if anything, it will be an improvement from what we have seen.

Reggie Wayne will have 5 or more receptions. False. Since losing star cornerback Darrelle Revis to a season ending ACL injury in week 3, his counterpart, Antonio Cromartie, has stepped up his play tremendously. In week 4 against San Francisco, Cromartie held Randy Moss and Michael Crabtree to a combined 2 receptions for 15 yards. Last week, the veteran out of Florida State held Houston’s Andre Johnson to just one reception for 15 yards. Cromartie is proving to be in that elite group of defensive backs in this league. This week, it will be even more imperative for him to continue this level of play, as Reggie Wayne has been Andrew Luck’s most targeted receiver. Take Wayne away, and the rookie is left with a makeshift group of receivers. Shutting down Wayne will be key to defensive success as it will likely fluster the young Quarterback to not have the trusted veteran as an option. The defensive coaching staff has likely been preaching this to Cromartie all week, who has been playing with a heavy chip on his shoulder due to the vast amount of criticism he has received over the past year. Look for Cro’ to continue his elite level of play.

Quinton Coples will register his first NFL sack this week. Fact. Everyone is waiting for this to happen, and based on our defensive film breakdowns, Coples is right on the cusp of registering that coveted first career sack. The rookie out of North Carolina is growing with every rep he gets, and Indianapolis has given up 9 sacks in 4 games, not terrible, but certainly not very good. Look for Rex Ryan and Mike Pettine to continue to move Coples all over the board, and for a sack to come on an inside stunt, where he is such a mismatch for slower offensive linemen.

The Jets will return to .500 after this week. Fact. New York hasn’t lost 3 consecutive home games since 2009, Ryan’s first year with the club. The defense has slowly been improving, and this could be the week that they put it all together for the dominant performance everyone has been waiting for. Expect Ryan and Pettine to throw the kitchen sink at the rookie Luck, who will face arguably the toughest defense he has all year, on the road, and expect the offense to do enough to give the Jets a double digit victory.

Turn On The Jets Interview With Kristian Dyer

Chris Celletti interviews Kristian Dyer of Metro New York about the state of the New York Jets

Chris Celletti had the opportunity to sit down with Kristian Dyer from Metro New York and Yahoo Sports to discuss the current state of the New York Jets. Make sure to give both Chris and Kristian a follow on Twitter –

CC – In your opinion, did Mark Sanchez do enough on Monday to hold on to his starting job?

KD – Loaded question. Sanchez didn’t necessarily do enough to hold onto his starting job, he just didn’t do anything to lose it which at this point is progress on his part. His showing against the Texans was adequate as he made a lot of mistakes and had a fourth straight game with a completion percentage under 50 percent. But he didn’t have the howler he had in Week 4 against the 49ers. Right now, the hope has to be that he develops into a quarterback who doesn’t lose games for the team. Turning him into a quarterback who can step up and take over games and win them might be a bridge too far given his development.

CC – Does Sanchez stand a chance with the current supporting cast?

KD – It isn’t an awful group but while he’s been bad, the ground game has been just as bad – if not worse. If he got some support from the backfield, maybe he can do well. I’ve been impressed watching Jeremy Kerley in training camp and practice. He can be one of the best wide receivers in the league if he continues to grow and mature and should become a favorite target of Sanchez. Stephen Hill is going to be a nice player down the road and with Dustin Keller coming back this week, things are looking up for the offense.

CC – Complete this sentence: “(Blank) should get the Jets’ most carries from week to week, because…”

KD – Is Jonathan Grimes a possibility? I think he can develop into a legitimate running back in the NFL. But among the primary candidates, I do think Bilal Powell should get the nod and like was the case in 2009, bring Shonn Greene in for the third and fourth quarter where his battering ram style can work against a tired defense. But we’ve seen that, for whatever reason, Greene’s style isn’t working right now. Time to give Powell some carries and up the number for Joe McKnight too.

CC – What has generally been a strength under Rex Ryan is now a glaring weakness, the Jets’ run defense. What’s happened?

KD – Teams have figured out the 3-4 but more than that, the lack of speed among the linebackers corps is being exploited. Once a running back gets into the second level, there is the possibility for a big gain because the linebackers are painfully slow on the Jets right now. Look at the 49ers game and see how many plays Mike De Vito made eight or 10 yards after the line scrimmage to see the lack of speed the Jets have among their linebackers. If your defensive end is making that type of a play that far back away from the line, you’re in trouble.

CC – Name the Jet who has most exceeded your expectations this season. Name the Jet who has disappointed you the most this season.

KD – I’ve been impressed with Damon Harrison, the nose tackle out of NAIA program William Penn. He was a project when he came to rookie camp but through hard work, he kept making progress. Harrison is a quick study, has lost lots of bad weight and has a good motor. He’s raw but he could grow into a solid pro. A good kid too with a great personality. In terms of disappointment, it has to be Sanchez at this juncture. He just hasn’t progressed. It would be easy to say running back Shonn Greene, but he wasn’t a first round pick and the No. 6 overall selection in his draft. He also doesn’t have the long term deal that Sanchez got this offseason. To whom much is given, much is expected and the Jets have given Sanchez an awful lot of support.

CC – The Jets are where most people thought they would be after Week 5, at 2-3. When all is said and done, how many wins do the Jets finish with?

KD – With Darrelle Revis and Santonio Holmes healthy, this could have been a 10-win team but I’m not sure if, right now, this team can do any better than crack the .500 mark. It’s a terrible emotional blow to lose your two biggest playmakers on either side of the ball. The team might max out at 8-8.