After months of back and forth debating that in many cases turned into all-out fighting and arguing about the Jets, the season is finally here. I know if you watch ESPN, NFL Network, or whatever other stations full of “experts” there are out there, you’ll get the impression the Jets have no chance to compete this year, but I’m a much more optimistic lad. Call me crazy, but I’m downright giddy about the Jets chances this year and I think their offensive woes have been blown way out of proportion. To prove that point, I’m going to be dedicating this week’s stock watch to buying and selling made-up statistical props for the Jets players in 2012. Let’s start with the quarterback who will be leading the Jets this year and prove all the doubters wrong..
BUY: TIM TEBOW
BUY: Mark Sanchez over 60% completions - With Brian Schottenheimer and his baffling offensive system out of town, look for Mark to thrive under Tony Sprarano. He won’t put up eye-popping statistics, but you can bet his completion percentage will improve a great deal as the team runs the ball with more consistency and actually works off that with some play-actions which were mysteriously absent from Schotty’s playbook.
BUY: Mark Sanchez under 15 interceptions – With a less-confusing offense that better suits his skills, Mark’s interception total is going to go down to around the 12-13 area instead of the 18 he threw last year. Unfortunately, I don’t see him approaching the 26 touchdowns through the air from a year ago this season either, though.
BUY: Shonn Greene over 1500 yards from scrimmage - Yes, Shonn Greene is going to eclipse 1,500 yards from scrimmage this year. Many Jets fans, including some on this very site, are extremely down on the former third round pick, but I am not one of them. I expect the offensive line to get their crap together and for Greene to really hit his stride on the ground this season as he’s fed the ball repeatedly. And I can’t stress this enough: Shonn Greene is entering his contract year. He’s going to bust his ass to put up numbers and get paid. This is a lock.
BUY: Santonio Holmes over 70 Catches and 10 TD’s - Well he had 8 TD’s and 51 catches last year and it can’t get much worse than the year he had, right? Look for the Jets to force the ball to Holmes early in the season to get him involved and keep him happy. Plus, he’s the only reliable receiver on the team, so throwing to him early and often makes a ton of sense.
SELL: Chaz Schilens over 10 catches – The way it’s looking now, I’d probably sell if the over was 0.5 catches. Ugh. Hope I’m wrong about this one.
SELL: Austin Howard over 4.5 starts at RT – Another one I hope I’m wrong about, because having Howard become a legit starting RT would be a major boon for the offense. Plus, it would cause Mike Tannenbaum to nearly collapse in joy at the thought of finding his own diamond in the rough to appease his “Next Victor Cruz” obsession. And that’s not to mention some Jets bloggers who shall remain nameless that have already made plans to attend Austin Howard’s Hall of Fame induction in the year 2034. That being said, I just don’t think Howard is going to last, and Jason Smith will be the man on the right side before long.
BUY: Coples and Wilkerson combined over 10.5 sacks – Considering these are both interior pass rushers, over 10 sacks combined might be a little bit of a lofty goal. BUT,these two guys are incredibly talented and athletic and are going to cause major havoc in opposing backfields. Even if they fall a little short of this number combined, they’ll be directly responsible for about a dozen other sacks that will fall into the laps of Calvin Pace and Aaron Maybin on the outside. Unfortunately this won’t stop plenty of yahoo Jets fans who will look at the sack numbers, not see double digits each and call both of them busts. Sigh.
SELL: Aaron Maybin over 10 sacks – I think Maybin will lead the team in sacks this year, but I don’t think he will crack double digits. Think 7-9 for him and that will be just fine when combined with our young studs on the line. Defenses are going to pay more attention to him this yearf, so cracking 10 could be tough.
SELL: Darrelle Revis over 0.5 TD’s allowed – Ok let’s see here. We’re witnessing perhaps the greatest defensive back of all time at the age of 27. He’s in his absolute athletic peak. He gave up one touchdown last year and people have dogged him about it since, saying Stevie Johnson now owns him. He’s playing for a new contract that will likely make him the highest paid non-quarterback in the history of the NFL. Umm, yeah I’m gonna go ahead and say we’re about to see some kind of historic season from Number 24. Oh, and Stevie Johnson, if you’re reading this (and why wouldn’t you be?) you’re screwed this week. SCREWED.
BUY: Nick Folk over 30 FG’s made this year – Folk has had an excellent off-season, beating out Josh Brown, and we all know how much Tony Sparano loves his field goals.
BUY: Jets over 8.5 wins this year - I’ve been over this time and time again (like in my AFC East Preview), but this is a lock. With that schedule and that defense, 9 wins should be an afterthought. I’m thinking 10 or 11 and a deep playoff run. I’m getting excited just thinking about this team’s potential.
So forget the haters. Forget Evan Silva and Mike Florio. The hell with Merrill Hoge and Gary Myers and Mike Francesa. Ignore the Tim Tebow disciples like Skip Bayless. This team has a real chance to give us a special season that we’ll remember for a long time. Let’s sit back and enjoy the ride.