This week’s 12 Pack is going throw out some statistical predictions for members of both the New York Jets offense and defense. Credit for the idea goes to (@ItsOasus) on Twitter. Give the man a follow and while you are it give our fellow writers Chris Gross, Mike Donnelly and TJ Rosenthal a follow.
In case you missed it this week…
- Comparing AFC East Teams To The Corleone Children - Joe Caporoso
- Reasonable Expectations For The Jets - Joe Caporoso
- Fact or False: Jets/Bills Edition - Chris Gross
- All Time Beat Writer Rankings - Joe Caporoso
- How To Get Most Out Of Stephen Hill - Joe Caporoso
- Stock Watch: Jets West Edition - Mike Donnelly
- No Huddle: Under The Radar Jets - TJ Rosenthal
1. Mark Sanchez - 256/432, 59.2 completion percentage, 3,360 yards, 25 touchdowns, 13 interceptions - I am basically projecting Sanchez for 16/27, 210 yards on a weekly basis. The yardage total might seem a little high but I think the Jets will attack down the field more often with Tony Sparano calling plays, will use Santonio Holmes more vertically and should have a viable deep threat in Stephen Hill. Yes, I believe he will do a better job of protecting the football and will cut 5 interceptions off his total from last season.
2. Shonn Greene – 280 carries, 1,175 yards, 4.2 yards per carry, 5 touchdowns - Greene isn’t anywhere near an elite level back but considering their depth chart at running back and the offensive system the Jets are going to give him 17-20 carries per week. He should be able to translate that into a little under 1,200 yards considering his history. His touchdown total will be disappointing because Tim Tebow will be a major presence around the goal-line.
3. Santonio Holmes – 72 receptions, 1,044 yards, 7 touchdowns - Holmes averaged 15 yards per catch over the 3 years prior to 2011, let’s put him at 14.5 this season…a nice bump up from the 12.8 of last season. Sparano should also do a better job of getting the ball in his hands than Brian Schottenheimer did last season, so 4.5 catches per game seems reasonable. Holmes had 8 touchdowns last year, which tied a career high. He will end up with 7 this season.
4. Dustin Keller – 64 receptions, 832 yards, 7 touchdowns - Yes, I do think Holmes and Keller will equate for this large of a share of the Jets passing game. Keller was at 12.5 yards per catch last year, he’ll bump up to about 13 in Tony Sparano’s offense. 7 touchdowns would be a career high but he is due to be a sustainable red-zone presence throughout an entire season.
5. Stephen Hill – 40 receptions, 630 yards, 5 touchdowns - The reception total won’t be high but Hill will be a big play threat for the Jets, hence the high yards per catch average. His size and leaping ability ability will also make him a consistent red-zone threat.
6. Tim Tebow – 80 carries, 440 yards, 7 rushing touchdowns, 250 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns - Tebow is going to be a major factor in the red-zone as a rusher and overall should average out to about 5 carries per week. His passing totals are hard to project, because it remains to be seen how often the Jets will use him a passer. For the record, I do think Mark Sanchez, barring injury, starts every game this season at quarterback.
7. Aaron Maybin – 10.5 sacks, 26 tackles, 5 forced fumbles - With a full off-season under his belt, Maybin will become the first Jets defender to hit double digit sacks since John Abraham (!). If that forced fumble total seems high, remember he forced 4 last season in 13 games with a very limited role.
8. David Harris – 90 tackles, 4 sacks, 4 interceptions - Another rock solid, Pro-Bowl caliber season from the Jets inside linebacker. Don’t look for any drop-off in his regular production.
9. Quinton Coples – 30 tackles, 5.5 sacks - Rex Ryan and Karl Dunbar will get Coples in the proper position to make an immediate impact as a pass rusher. Towards the end of the season, he will begin to come on more as a complete player, particularly in run defense.
10. Muhammad Wilkerson – 55 tackles, 6 sacks, 10 tackles for a loss - I am on the Wilkerson bandwagon, who I think will play at a Pro-Bowl caliber level as a two way defensive end. Wilkerson and Coples will give the Jets their best pass rushing duo up front since John Abraham and Shaun Ellis were young pups.
11. Joe McKnight – 75 carries, 325 yards, 32 receptions, 320 yards, 2 offensive touchdowns, 1 special teams touchdown - A good all-around year for McKnight who will be able to handle the role of 3rd down back and be a reliable checkdown/screen option for Mark Sanchez. He also will remain one of the league’s better kick returners.
12. Jeremy Kerley – 45 receptions, 460 yards, 2 touchdowns - Kerley won’t have a high yards per catch but will develop into a reliable third down target, being a good option in the short to intermediate passing game.