NFL Week 9 – Smart Bets

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When the Jets have a week off, I take the week off from the NFL. I know I’m in the minority, but just as Mark Sanchez and company need their rest, I need my mental health time away from football. Week 9 brings an excellent slate of games, maybe the best week of games overall this season. Here in the New York metro area, it’ll be that rare time where Jets fans are rooting for Big Blue. Personally, whenever it seems like I have to root for a team I normally root against, they never come up big. Let’s hope I’m wrong, and this week the Giants come up with a big victory for both New York teams.

Giants -9 at Patriots and the OVER (51)

This will be a shootout. I really don’t think the Patriots should be nine point favorites over anyone at this point with that defense. Well, maybe against the Broncos if you-know-who is at QB. But Eli Manning is playing as good as he ever has, and even if Hakeem Nicks can’t go I still think the Giants will put up a lot of points. However, you don’t want to face Tom Brady and the Pats in Foxboro when they’re coming off a loss. The G-Men will have trouble covering Wes Welker, Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski, and don’t sleep on the Pats’ running game in this one. I think it is a close game that goes down to the wire, with both QB’s putting up huge numbers.

49ers -2.5 at Redskins

Who’s quarterbacking the Redskins at this point? The Redskins rank 21st against the run, and Frank Gore has been a monster recently (while also saving my miserable-but-somehow 5-3 fantasy team), and I expect him to have another huge day. If the line were a little higher I’d be skeptical with the cross country trip and early start. But by just a field goal? I’ll take San Fran.

Steelers -3 vs. Ravens and the UNDER (41.5)

I’m going with the Steelers solely on the revenge factor. Pittsburgh really hasn’t been all that impressive this season, even with beating the Pats last week. Sorry, I won’t go wild about a Super Bowl-winning QB shredding that New England pass defense. They are that bad. But the Ravens haven’t been anything special either so far. They should have lost to the horrendous Arizona Cardinals last week, at home no less. The Steelers have had this one circled on their calendars (although I doubt James Harrison has an actual calendar anywhere) since the Ravens’ Week 1 beatdown. Also, I’ll set the over/under of plays that will result in fines in this game at 4.5, and likely take the over.

BONUS NON-FOOTBALL BET OF THE WEEK

Alabama -4.5 vs LSU

Eh, nevermind. I still won’t watch a second of this game. #getaplayoffsystem

  • Tony C

    Wes surprisingly hit the Injury list this week with a neck problem, he’ll be probably if memory serves.