Projecting The Jets Offensive Statistics

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First a few updates:

1. Follow Turn On The Jets on Facebook and Twitter (TurnOnTheJets). Yes, Fanball is still working on breaking those pending comments out but any comment you leave will be transcribed by me and posted.

2. After it was initially reported that Darrelle Revis was going to hold out of training camp unless he received a new contract, it has now been released that he will attend because he risks losing guaranteed money on his old contract if he misses any mandatory workouts. Obviously, we just have to wait and see what happens on August 1st but hopefully Mike Tannenbaum and the rest of the Jets front office is putting in OT right now on Revis, Nick Mangold, and David Harris. The less distractions the Jets have heading into training camp the better, considering they will already have Hard Knocks in attendance. There hasn’t been any positive talk about the Revis negotiations in recent weeks but the Jets still have a few weeks to make a move before training camp and the 18,000 daily stories about every move Revis does or doesn’t make.

Projecting The Jets Offensive Statistics

A few thoughts speculating on what some of the Jets offensive player statistics could look like in, after ranking the starters on Friday (http://turnonthejets.com/2010/07/09/ranking-the-jets-offensive-starters-weekend-video-clips/).

Photobucket- Jerricho Cotchery led the team in receptions last season and I think he will do the same in 2010. Out of all the Jets receivers, he seems to have the best chemistry with Mark Sanchez and should be the team’s primary target on third downs this season. Similar to the rest of his career, he likely won’t rack up big touchdown or yardage totals. When the Jets are looking for a big play, Braylon Edwards or Santonio Holmes will be the primary target (after week 4). By all accounts, Edwards had a terrific off-season and if he can remain consistent could be in store for a big season in a Jets offense that will throw more frequently than their 2009 unit. I don’t know if he will get the amount of looks necessary to be a 1,000 yard receiver but he could end up being close, especially with Holmes suspended the first four games. I also think he will be battling Dustin Keller for the team lead in touchdown receptions. Keller will struggle to have big reception and yardage totals with so many other pass catching options but is an excellent red-zone target because of his combination of size and speed at the tight end position.

It is hard to project what Santonio Holmes will do after he returns from his suspension. You have to figure it will take some time for him to adjust and find his exact role in the Jets offense. Yet, by the end of the year he could very well be the guy leading the Jets in receiving yards most weeks. If you asked me right now, I’d say Cotchery will lead the team in receptions, Edwards will lead them in yards and touchdowns, with Keller close behind in the touchdown category.

- At running back, if Shonn Greene stays healthy and keeps up his high yards per carry, there is no reason he can’t be a 1200 – 1300 yard back. I don’t buy any talk about LaDainian Tomlinson competing with him for the starting job. The primary reason the Jets let Thomas Jones walk was because they believed Greene could handle the starting job. Tomlinson was brought in to back him up and provide a pass receiving option out of the backfield since Greene struggles catching the football. I also expect him to get the first crack at being the goal-line and short yardage back. Greene is going to lead the team in carries and yards by a good margin. Yet, Tomlinson could end up leading them in rushing touchdowns and should catch 30-40 balls as well. Joe McKnight will likely start out slow but if he shows he can handle blitz pick up, his package of plays will expand as the season goes on. I doubt he will get over 80 carries this season but hopefully he can chip in a decent reception total, especially in the second half of the season.

- At quarterback, it is hard to see Mark Sanchez not improving on his statistics across the board in 2010. It will be a disappointment if he doesn’t throw for a higher completion percentage, more yards, more touchdowns, and less interceptions. Nobody is saying he is going to make a monster leap but I think he is capable of reaching 3000 yards with something like 15 touchdowns to 12 interceptions, along with a completion percentage in the 56 – 58 range. The Jets will throw more this season and his completion percentage will be aided by a more active screen game led by Tomlinson and McKnight.

- Brad Smith won’t catch any more passes than he did in 2009 (7) but hopefully he can match or exceed the 207 rushing yards he gave the Jets last year, with a few big plays out of the Tiger formation or on a reverse. He should also complete a few passes, as the Jets look to build on his big completion to Jerricho Cotchery in the AFC Championship Game. David Clowney will likely catch a few passes in the first four weeks but I don’t know how involved he will remain in the game plan after Holmes returns from suspension. Outside of that, I wouldn’t be spending any of my fantasy football picks on Ben Hartsock, Matthew Mulligan, Tony Richardson, or John Conner.

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  • dmd13

    thats absurd you predict greene goin 1200-1300 yds… so bc he had 2 good playoff games hes automatically top 10 back in the league…Im sure rex isn’t goin to rip his head off when he is fumbling once every 30 carries… even ap doesnt fumble at that rate

  • Joe Caporoso

    POST FROM DMD13

    thats absurd you predict greene goin 1200-1300 yds… so bc he had 2 good playoff games hes automatically top 10 back in the league…Im sure rex isn’t goin to rip his head off when he is fumbling once every 30 carries… even ap doesnt fumble at that rate

  • Joe Caporoso

    With the Jets offensive line and the amount of touches he will get, he will have a good shot to post those numbers. Greene did a good protecting the ball in the playoffs..hopefully that will carry over to 2010

  • dmd13

    Yea you are basing your prediction on two playoff games and one brutal beat down of the Raiders other than that he didn’t do much… Don’t get me wrong I think he will get 1000 if he gets over 250 carries but the Jets offensive line is not better than last year with Faneca gone… so saying an unproven running back with a downgraded line in addition to not even being named the starter yet is going to put up 1200-1300 yds is ludicrous(and I am not talking bout the rapper). Lets not forget this is the guy that could of brought you to the superbowl granted a “Rib Injury” impeded him, WHAT DO U THINK HES GOING TO DO IN WEEK 7 WHEN HE CANT FEEL HIS LEGS? NO HEART LIKE B. JACOBS PLAYING HURT SINCE WEEK 1!

  • Joe Caporoso

    POST FROM DMD13

    Yea you are basing your prediction on two playoff games and one brutal beat down of the Raiders other than that he didn’t do much… Don’t get me wrong I think he will get 1000 if he gets over 250 carries but the Jets offensive line is not better than last year with Faneca gone… so saying an unproven running back with a downgraded line in addition to not even being named the starter yet is going to put up 1200-1300 yds is ludicrous(and I am not talking bout the rapper). Lets not forget this is the guy that could of brought you to the superbowl granted a “Rib Injury” impeded him, WHAT DO U THINK HES GOING TO DO IN WEEK 7 WHEN HE CANT FEEL HIS LEGS? NO HEART LIKE B. JACOBS PLAYING HURT SINCE WEEK 1!

  • Joe Caporoso

    I think this calls for an article